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May 2013 Intelligent Investor Part 2 Opening Statement May 29, 2013
While a considerable amount of global economic risk remains, the U.S. stock market continues its spectacular run. The unwavering trend of robust earnings growth from the S&P 500 has kept the bull market very strong and resilient for several years now. This strong earnings performance continues to push the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 Index to new all time highs. U.S. dollar denominated assets remain as the safe haven choice for institutions and sophisticated investors...
May 2013 Intelligent Investor Part 1 Opening Statement May 26, 2013
Commodities continue to correct as we expected. As readers will recall, we were on the leading edge in predicting the correction in commodities more than two years ago. At that time, with the CRB approaching 700, we discussed three possible correction destinations that we felt would be determined by the economic progress; one at 400, 450 and 500. In contrast, many sources were insisting that commodities would soar due to continued quantitative easing. What is remarkable about this is that...
April 2013 Intelligent Investor Part 3 Opening Statement May 23, 2013
Get ready for Dow Jones 15,000 because it’s coming, and soon. Earnings continue to shine while the U.S. economy remains stagnant. But earnings are also pretty good in many regions of the world where the economy is much more stagnant, such as in Europe and Asia. The consensus for Q1 earnings growth currently comes in at about 0.05% decline, which leaves a great deal of upside for the stock market if earnings come in at a modest 2% growth rate for the quarter. We feel earnings will in...
April 2013 Intelligent Investor Part 2 Opening Statement May 22, 2013
Investors continue to interpret a more favorable economic environment in United States in comparison with the rest of the advanced and developing world. The long string of impressive earnings from the S&P 500 has kept the bull market persistently strong. This strong earnings performance continues to push the Dow Jones Industrial Average to new all time highs. And on April 10, 2013, the S&P 500 Index finally blew past its previous all time high from 2007. Again, we view U.S. sovereign...
An Alternative Way to Play Gold Apr 2, 2013
Mike discusses an alternative way to play gold that he feels has less risk and more upside.
VIDEO: Survey Says Gold Bugs Are Uneducated, Low-Income Sheep Mar 29, 2013
A recent survey has confirmed what I have been pointing out for a long time; gold bugs are naive, easily fooled, unsophisticated investors with low educational attainment.
Opening Statement from the December 2012 Intelligent Investor (Part 2) Jan 22, 2013
Those who followed our recommendations to sell shares prior to the market correction and repurchase on the way down through 12,500 have no doubt done very nicely. Remember that we do not need to be perfect in timing tops and bottoms. If we can sell towards the tops and buy towards the bottoms, over time we will significantly outperform every index you can imagine.The problem some investors have is that they want to wait for the exact bottom before they buy. Unfortunately, this often causes...
Did You Own the BEST PERFORMING Stock in 2011? WE DID
What was the best performing stock in the Dow Jones Industrial Average in 2011? We did. We called the top and told investors to sell before shares collapsed.
How to Manage a Market Correction: Points You Won't Read Elsewhere Jul 28, 2012
When trying to figure out how best to manage a market correction, one of the first things you need to consider is how each of your holdings has performed prior to or in the early stages of the correction period. In order to arrive at this assessment, we examine relative strength. Relative strength measures the performance of a security versus an appropriate index over a given time frame. While relative strength is often very useful for trading purposes, its utility diminishes during a stock...
Video Presentation "20 Stocks Over $100" Lands HUGE Profits: CMG Jul 21, 2012
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) has been one of the hottest stocks over the past few years, having soared by more than 1000% since late 2008. Throughout this time, the chart looked great.
July 2012 U.S. & Emerging Market, Commodities, Currencies and Precious Metals Forecasts Jul 19, 2012
We have just released our July 2012 U.S. & Emerging Market, Commodities, Currencies and Precious Metals Forecasts.
The Quote of the Year Goes to Charles Munger When Speaking about Gold Jul 15, 2012
aoegold is a great thing to sew onto your garments if youare a Jewish family in Vienna in 1939 but civilized people donat buy gold a they invest in productive businesses.a
June 2012 Dividend Gems Opening Statement Jul 14, 2012
As we progress through the aoemeata of the global macroeconomic risk cycle, the U.S. stock market continues to correct in accord with our forecasts (as published in the Intelligent Investor).Despite the recent lows made in the Dow Jones Industrial Average of 12,003 on June 4, the market rallied in lue of continued negative developments in Europe. However, we feel this rally is not likely to reverse the bearish intermediate term trend.
What's Behind the Natural Gas Price Disparity? (PART1) Jun 24, 2012
A few weeks ago, as natural gas prices in the U.S. continued to set multi year lows, there appeared to be no end in sight for just how low prices would go. But alas, some temporary relief has come for natural gas pricing. Now that the global recession is spreading (as we warned of several months ago), crude pricing has corrected, while natural gas has bumped up in price. However, the longer term trend for natural gas remains bearish, while that of crude oil remains bullish.The severe and...
Market Guidance from March 2012 Dividend Gems Apr 10, 2012
In late January the Federal Reserve Bank announced that it intended to keep short term interest rates at current levels until at least late 2014. This announcement has several ramifications.
Do You Have a Financial Advisor/Money Manager/Financial Planner? You Better Read This Jan 20, 2012
Without drawing this out into a long piece, we wanted to remind everyone of a few realities which we will summarize below. If you have someone handling your investments, you had better damn well make sure they are following someone who knows what's going on.
The Truth about Hedge Funds Jan 18, 2012
In the past I have mentioned that 99% of all hedge funds engage in insider trading. I happen to know this for a fact.
Ignorance of Main Street Best Seen in WaMu Shareholders Sep 16, 2011
For nearly two years now, Mike has wanted to write a follow up article on Washington Mutual, pointing to the gross missteps by very naive shareholders.
Where is the Stock Market Headed? Aug 15, 2011
How much more will the stock market decline?Should you sell?When should you buy?
Stock Market and Economic Overview Aug 10, 2011
Approximately three months weeks ago the U.S. markets began to correct. We warned about this first correction in the May issue of our firms paid research publications.
Dividend Gems Outperforms Again
As the market has sold off over the past month, the Dividend Gems Recommended List has once again outperformed. Below are charts representing EVERY security in the Dividend Gems Recommended List so you can see the entire performance, not cherry picked data.
Be Careful About Buying into the Silver Selloff May 5, 2011
As many have noticed, silver has collapsed from a recent multi year high of more than $48/ounce. In just a few days of trading, silver has dropped by nearly 30%. What has triggered this massive selloff?
Market Pulse and Earnings Apr 21, 2011
Market Pulse Apr 19, 2011
Important Notes Released for this Week - Intelligent Investor Subscribers Mar 13, 2011
Trader's Notes and Forward Catalysts Mar 1, 2011
Which Company Faces the Highest Risk of a Slowing Growth Due to the Deep-Water Drilling Ban? Jun 10, 2010
I'll be concise here. The White House's recent 6 month ban on deep water drilling could send ripples throughout the industry, specifically for oil exploration firms that have a large amount of ul...
Which Country Has the Largest Percentage of Governent Debt Due to Net CDS? May 29, 2010
I've added this question to the website poll to the left, so I want to encourage you to take a stab. Before you place your vote, I will go ahead and tell you the answer is NOT Greece. So y...
New Market Forecast + Update on BP May 22, 2010
As subscribers to the AVAIA newsletter know, the special report released on May 9 wasAquite accurate. In short, anyone who had access to the special report could have avoidedAup to anA...
Update on British Petroleum May 18, 2010
A couple of weeks ago, I released a report discussing how I was able to get in on Merck for big gains, while virtually everyone else left the company for dead after the Vioxx scandal played out. http:...
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