image
AVA Investment Analytics

January 2014 Emerging Markets Forecast




AVA Investment Analytics

January 2014 US Stock Market Forecast (Dow Jones & Nasdaq)




AVA Investment Analytics

January 2014 Commodities, Currencies & Precious Metals Forecast




AVA Investment Analytics

Brazil Economic Analysis 2013




AVA Investment Analytics

November 2013 Commodities, Currencies & Precious Metals Forecast




AVA Investment Analytics

November 2013 Dow Jones & Nasdaq Forecast




AVA Investment Analytics

November 2013 Emerging Markets Forecast




AVA Investment Analytics

August Precious Metals and Commodities Forecast Video Update




AVA Investment Analytics

August 2013 Emerging Markets Forecast




AVA Investment Analytics

August 2013 Dow Jones & Nasdaq Forecast




 
Search:
Market Pulse
Tuesday, April 19, 2011, by Stathis
Font

Just some quick thoughts, nothing set in stone here.

Earnings are starting to come in a bit "ify;" not so great, but not bad. Expectations are key.  

Starting to see a few minor price target revisions on the downside but nothing major. Still, I have not seen this in some time. As long as these revisions are not large and are absorbed gradually over time they shouldn't be an issue.

Normally, the very slight weakness in earnings would not be an issue. However, with everything weighing in, it could signal an intermediate-term trend reversal downside (with maybe an upbeat day here or there depending on key earnings over thenext several days). Too soon to tell right now.

What's weighing in?

1) US Debt outlook for a downgrade - this is noise BUT look for bullish gold (esp.) and silver trade

2) Japan - the effects will linger

3) China - inflation, real estate overheating, labor market wage pressure, yuan will revalue more rapidly in response

4) Labor at close to full capacity in Brazil, India, Indonesia 

5) Middle East tensions

6) Eurozone continued issues

7) High oil prices

8) Brazil inflation risk remains concerning with inadequate response from officials

 

I trimmed positions last week. Waiting for more ST clarity. Will trade short-term when possible. 

I'm waiting to get back into oil. I have a small position I repurchased Friday. I see further downside on some of the Int. Inv. oil holdings, but limited downside on the DG oil holdings. 

I stand by my market forecast and recommendation.

Subscribers will be notified if I sense anything relevant or any changes.

 

 

Printing Version More On US Markets

 
Education (most articles are restricted)   Focused Research
Asia
Asset Management
Commodities
Crooks, Liars & Idiots
Economics
Fundamental Analysis
Healthcare
Labor Market
Latin America
Media Deception
Mutual Funds
Precious Metals
Real Estate
Technical Analysis
US Markets
  Proof that Mike Stathis is One of the Top Investment Minds on Earth

2013 Mid-Year Global Economic Analysis (Video Presentation)

The Most Comprehensive Global Economic Report in the World

We recently released what we believe is the single most comprehensive and insightful global...

60 Stocks Poised for HUGE Moves

Next week we plan to release a special video presentation highlighting approximately 60...

Fundamental & Technical Analysis of Twenty Stocks Trading over $100

We have just released twenty (20) videos, each covering the fundamental and technical analysis of...

Economic Focus: Canada

In this report, we analyze Canada's economic health, its long term fiscal challenges and examine...

UK Economic Analysis: Housing and Banking Risk

Just released for subscribers of the Intelligent Investor is a 30 minute video presentation...

Telcom Analysis Video Presentation

In this 23 minute video, Mike discusses ways to play the AT&T/T Mobile deal, and summarizes the...

Investment Strategy Video Tutorial

We have just released an investment strategy video tutorial for subscribers to Dividend Gems. In...

Italy, France and Japan Economic Analysis

As a reminder, we released an economic analysis of Italy, France, Japan and the US in the October...

 
HOME     ABOUT     SERVICES     RESEARCH     LIBRARY     CONTACT

Terms and Conditions | Privacy Policy | Legal Disclaimers
Copyright (c) 2008-2014. AVA Investment Analytics. www.avaresearch.com. All Rights Reserved
Image