"There are two sorts of wealth-getting, as I have said; one is a part of household management, the other is retail trade: the former necessary and honorable, while that which consists in exchange is justly censured; for it is unnatural, and a mode by which men gain from one another. The most hated sort, and with the greatest reason, is usury, which makes a gain out of money itself, and not from the natural object of it. For money was intended to be used in exchange, but not to increase at interest. And this term interest, which means the birth of money from money, is applied to the breeding of money because the offspring resembles the parent. Wherefore of modes of getting wealth this is the most unnatural."

- Politics, Aristotle, 350 B.C.

"The Jew alone regards his race as superior to humanity, and looks forward not to its ultimate union with other races, but to its triumph over them all and to its final ascendancy under the leadership of a tribal Messiah."

- Goldwin Smith, The Jewish Question, October 1881

“I am a most unhappy man. I have unwittingly ruined my country. A great industrial nation is controlled by its system of credit. Our system of credit is concentrated. The growth of the nation, therefore, and all our activities are in the hands of a few men. We have come to be one of the worst ruled, one of the most completely controlled and dominated governments in the civilized world. No longer a government by free opinion, no longer a government by conviction and the vote of the majority, but a government by the opinion and duress of a small group of dominant men.”

- President Woodrow Wilson 1916

“We are grateful to the Washington Post, The New York Times, Time Magazine and other great publications whose directors have attended our meetings and respected their promises of discretion for almost forty years. It would have been impossible for us to develop our plan for the world if we had been subjected to the lights of publicity during those years. But, the world is now more sophisticated and prepared to march towards a world government. The supranational sovereignty of an intellectual elite and world bankers is surely preferable to the national auto-determination practiced in past centuries.”

- David Rockefeller, Baden-Baden, Germany 1991

“It is well enough that people of the nation do not understand our banking and monetary system, for if they did, I believe there would be a revolution before tomorrow morning.”

- Henry Ford 

“The real truth of the matter is, as you and I know, that a financial element in the larger centers has owned the Government ever since the days of Andrew Jackson.”

- Franklin D. Roosevelt, letter to Col. House, November 21, l933

“One of the least understood strategies of the world revolution now moving rapidly toward its goal is the use of mind control as a major means of obtaining the consent of the people who will be subjects of the New World Order.”

- The National Educator, K.M. Heaton

"We Jews, we, the destroyers, will remain the destroyers for ever. Nothing that you will do will meet our needs and demands. We will for ever destroy because we need a world of our own, a God-world, which it is not in your nature to build."

- Maurice Samuels, You Gentiles, 1924

“We are on the verge of a global transformation. All we need is the right major crisis and the nations will accept the New World Order.”

- David Rockefeller 

“Today, America would be outraged if U.N. troops entered Los Angeles to restore order. Tomorrow they will be grateful! This is especially true if they were told that there were an outside threat from beyond, whether real or promulgated, that threatened our very existence. It is then that all peoples of the world will plead to deliver them from this evil. The one thing every man fears is the unknown. When presented with this scenario, individual rights will be willingly relinquished for the guarantee of their well-being granted to them by the World Government.”

- Dr. Henry Kissinger, Bilderberger Conference, Evians, France, 1991

How to Think Clearly

"Never argue with stupid people. They will drag you down to their level and then beat you with experience." –Mark Twain

If you want to begin to understand and appreciate the work of Mike Stathis, from his market forecasts and securities analysis to his political and economic analysis, you will first need to learn how to think clearly. For many, this will be a cleansing process that could take quite a long time to complete depending on each individual.

The best way to begin to clear your mind is to first move forward with this series of steps:

1. GET RID OF YOUR TV SET (at least cancel your cable)


3. DO NOT USE A "SMART PHONE" (or at least do not use your phone to access the internet)


The cleansing process will take time but you can hasten the process by being proactive in exercising your mind.

You should also be aware of a very common behavior exhibited by humans who have been exposed to the various aspects of modern society. This behavior occurs when an individual overestimates his abilities and knowledge, while underestimating his weaknesses and lack of understanding. This behavior has been coined the "Dunning-Kruger Effect" after to sociologists who described it in a research publication. See here.

Many people today think they are virtual experts on every topic they regard with relevance. The reason for this illusory behavior is because these individuals typically allow themselves to become brainwashed by various media outlets. The more information these individuals obtain on these topics from the media, the more qualified they feel they are in these subjects, without realizing that the media is not a valid source with which to use for understanding something. The media always has bias and can never be relied on to represent the full truth.

A perfect example of the Dunning-Kruger Effect can be seen with many individuals who listen to talk radio shows. These shows are politically biased and consist of individuals who resemble used car salesmen more than intellectuals. These talking heads brainwash their audience with cherry-picked facts, misstatements and lies regarding relevant issues such as healthcare, immigration, Social Security, Medicaid, economics, science, and so forth. They also select guests for interview based on the agendas they wish to fulfill with their advertisers.

Once their audience has been indoctrinated by these propagandists, they feel qualified to discuss these topics on the same level as a real authority, without realizing that they obtained their understanding from individuals who are employed as professional liars and manipulators by the media.  Another good example of the Dunning-Kruger Effect can be seen upon examination of political pundits, stock market and economic analysts on TV.  They talk a good game because they are professional speakers. But once you examine their track record, it is clear that these individuals are largely wrong, but they have developed an inflated sense of expertise and knowledge on topics for which they continuously demonstrate their incompetence.

One of the most insightful analogies created to explain how things are often not what you see was Plato's Allegory of the Cave, from Book 7 of the Republic.

We highly recommend that you study this masterpiece in great detail so that you are better able to use logic and reason.Although we recommend you read and study The Allegory of the Cave, you can get a flavor for its meaning by watching the following video. 

If you can learn how to think like a philosopher, specifically one of the great ancient Greek philosophers, it is highly unlikely that you will ever be fooled by con artists like those who make ridiculous and unfounded claims in order to pump gold and silver, the typical get-rich-quick or multi-level marketing (MLM) crowd.

STOP Being Taken

“Beware of false prophets, which come to you in sheep's clothing, but inwardly they are ravening wolves.”

King James Bible - Matthew 7:15

"It's easier to fool people than to convince them that they have been fooled." –Mark Twain

All Viewpoints Are Not Created Equal Just because something is published in print, online or aired in the broadcast media does not make it accurate.  In fact, more often than not the larger the audience, the more likely the content is either inaccurate or slanted. The next time you read something about economics or investments, you should ask two main questions in order to assess the credibility of the source. Is the source biased in any way?   That is, do they have any agendas which would provide any type of benefit accounting for their views? Most individuals either sell ads on their site or are dealers of precious metals or securities. That means their views are biased and cannot be relied upon.

Is your source is credible?  

Most people associate credibility with name-recognition. But more often than not, name-recognition serves as a predictor of bias if not lack of credibility because the more a name is recognized, the more the individual has been plastered in the media. And every intelligent person knows that individuals who have been provided with media exposure because they are either naive or clueless. The media positions these types of individuals as “credible experts” in order to please its financial sponsors; Wall Street. 

Instead of name-recognition or media celebrity status, you must determine whether your source has relevant experience on Wall Street as opposed to being self-taught. But this is just a basic hurdle that in itself by no means ensures the source is competent or credible. More important, always examine the track record of your source in depth, looking for accuracy and specific forecasts rather than open-ended statements. You must also look for timing since a broken clock is always right once a day.  Finally, make sure they do not cherry-pick their best calls. Always examine their entire track record. 

“Beware of false prophets, which come to you in sheep's clothing, but inwardly they are ravening wolves.”

King James Bible - Matthew 7:15

The above questions require only slight modification for use in determining the credibility of sources that discuss other topics, such as politics, healthcare, etc.We have compiled the most extensive publication exposing hundreds of con men pertaining to the financial publishing and securities industry, although we also cover numerous con men in the media and other front groups since they are all associated in some way with each other. There is perhaps no one else in the world capable of shedding the full light on these con men other than Mike Stathis. Mike has been studying the indistry for well over a decade. Alhough he has published numerous articles and videos addressing this dark side of the industry, the entire collection can be found in our ENCYCLOPEDIA of Bozos, Hacks, Snake Oil Salesmen and Faux Heroes
At AVA Investment Analytics, we don't try to pump gold, silver or equities like many others you see because we are not promoters or marketers. And we do not receive any compensation whatsoever (including from ads) from our content. We provide individual investors, financial advisers, analysts and fund managers with world-class research, education and unique insight.

Media Lies

If you listen to the media, most likely it is costing you hundreds of thousands of dollars in lost money at minimum over the course of your lifetime. The deceit, lies and useless guidance from the financial media certainly is a large contributor of these losses to the sheep you pay attention.

But a good deal of lost wealth comes in the form of excessive consumerism which the media seeks to impose on its audience. You aren’t going to know that you’re being brainwashed or that you have lost $1 million or $2 million over your life time due to the media, but I can guarantee you that with rare exception this is the reality for those who are naïve enough to waste time on the media.

It gets worse. By listening to the media, you are likely to also suffer ill health effects through the lack of timely coverage of toxic prescription drugs or through the ridiculous medical shows, all of which are supportive of the medical-industrial complex.

And if you seek out the so-called "alternative media" you might make the mistake of relying on con men like Kevin Trudeau or Alex Jones. This could be a deadly decision. As bad as traditional media is, the so-called "alternative media" is even worse.

Why Does the Media Air Liars and Con Men?

The goal of the media is NOT to serve its audience because the audience does NOT pay the bills.

The goal of the media is to please its sponsors, or the companies that spend huge dollars buying ads, and in order for companies to justify these expenses, they need the media to represent their cause. The media does this by airing idiots and con men who mislead and confuse their audience.

By engaging in "journalistic fraud," the media steers its audience into the arms of its advertisers because the audience is now misled and confused, so in the case of the financial media, it seeks the assistance of Wall Street brokerage firms, mutual funds, insurance companies, precious metals dealers. This is why advertisers pay big money to be promoted in the financial media.

We see the same thing on a more obvious note in the so-called "alternative media," which is really a remanufactured version of the so-called "mainstream media." Do not be fooled. There is no such thing as the "alternative media." 

In order to be considered "media" you must have content that has widespread channels of distribution. Thus, all "media" is widely distributed and the same powers that control the distribution of the so-called "mainstream media" also control the distribution of the so-called "alternative media."

The claim that there is an "alternative media" is merely a sales pitch designed to capture the audience that has since given up on the "mainstream media."  The tactic is a very common one used by con men.

The same tactic is used by Washington to convince naive voters that there are meaningful differences between the nation's two political parties. In reality, both parties are essentially the same when it comes to issues that matter most (trade policy, healthcare and war). Anyone who tells you anything different simply isn't thinking straight.

On this site, we expose the lies and the liars in the media. We discuss and reveal the motives and track record of the media’s hand-selected charlatans with a focus on the financial media.  

Why Stathis Was Banned

No one has generated a more accurate track record in the investment markets over the past several years than Mike Stathis. Yet, the financial media wants nothing to do with Stathis.

You aren't even going to hear him on the radio being interviewed.

You aren't going to see him mentioned on any websites either.

You won't read or hear of his remarkable track record unless you read about it on this website or read his books.

You should be wondering why this might be. Some of you already know the answer.

The media has banned Mike Stathis because the trick is to air clowns so that the audience will be steered into the hands of the media's financial sponsors - Wall Street and gold dealers.

And as for the radio shows and websites that either don't know about Stathis or don't care to hear what he has to say, the fact is that they are so stupid that they assume those who are plastered in the media are credible. And since they haven't seen or heard Stathis in the media, even if they come across him, they automatically assume he's a nobody in the investment world simply because he has no media exposure.

Well, if media exposure was a testament to knowledge, credibility and excellent track records, Peter Schiff's clients would be a lot happier when they looked at their account balance.

Others only care about pitching what’s deemed as the “hot” topic because this sells ads in terms of more site visits or reads. This is why you come across so many websites based on doom and conspiratorial horse shit run by con artists looking to cash in on ads.

We have donated countless hours and huge sums of money towards the pursuit of exposing the con men, lies and fraud. We continue this mission but we cannot continue it forever without your assistance.

We have been banned by virtually every media platform in the U.S and every website (mainly because we expose the truth about gold and silver).

We have been banned from use of email marketing providers.

The fact is that the Jewish Mafia has declared war on us because we have exposed the realities of the U.S. government, Wall Street and corporate America.

Note that we only began discussing the role of Jews in criminality by 2009, three years AFTER we had been black-listed by the media, so no one can say that our criticism of the Jewish Mafia has led to being black-listed, not that it would even be acceptable.

You can talk about the Italian Mafia, and Jewish Hollywood can make 100s of movies about it...


We rely on you to help spread the word about us. Just remember this. We don’t have to do what we are doing.

We could do as everyone else and focus on making money. We are doing sacrificing everything because in this day and age, unfortunately, the truth is revolutionary. It is also critical in order to prevent the complete enslavement of world citizenry.   

Rules to Remember

On Exposure: No one who has significant exposure can be trusted because those who are responsible for permitting such exposure have allowed it for a very good reason, and that reason does not serve your best interests.

On Spotting Frauds: Whenever you wish to know whether someone can be trusted, always remember this golden rule..."a man is judged by the company he keeps."

This is a very important rule to remember because con men almost always belong to the same network.

You will see the same con artists referencing each other, on blog rolls and so forth.

  • How to Think Clearly
  • STOP Being Taken
  • Media Lies
  • Why Stathis Was Banned
  • Rules to Remember
  • X close

Analysis of the AT&T/T-Mobile Deal

By now, most of you have heard about AT&T's buyout offer of Deutsche Telekom T-Mobile. The deal, totaling $39/$40 billion ($25 billion in cash and about $15 billion in stock, or 8% of AT&T stock) would add nearly 40 million wireless subscribers to AT&T for total of around 129 million, vaulting it past Verizon Wireless' 102 million. The combined company would serve about 43 percent of U.S. cellphones.
The agreement doesn't leave room for other buyers to jump in with a higher bid. However, this comes at a huge price to AT&T. The deal breakup fee is $6 billion in cash and wireless spectrum. This is a huge fee by any standard, and certainly adds risk to AT&T.  
AT&T would finance the cash part of the deal with new debt and cash on its balance sheet and will assume no debt from T-Mobile. This is a very important aspect to consider, as I will later discuss.
The buyout deal should come as no surprise to those of have been subscribers to the Intelligent Investor. On more than one occasion I have discussed the fact that T-Mobile would be unable to compete with the duopoly between AT&T and Verizon.  Furthermore, I previously discussed that Sprint is likely to become an acquisition target.  I also discussed this in America’s Healthcare Solution.
In the past, I felt that a Sprint/T-Mobile merger was more likely from Sprint’s perspective. While the two companies had been in talks, my guess is that T-Mobile management viewed a deal with AT&T as having less risk and with more value to shareholders.
One thing is for certain. The two companies use incompatible network technologies. This was also the case with a Verizon Wireless/T-Mobile deal. In contrast, the networks of AT&T and T-Mobile use the same underlying technology (GSM), so to a large extent, AT&T phones can already use T-Mobile's network, and vice versa.
Implications for Sprint
If in fact AT&T receives regulatory approval, the union with T-Mobile would leave Sprint with very few options to add much-needed wireless spectrum. First, instead of being next to the bottom in terms of subscribers, Sprint would be at the bottom. As a result, it would face pricing disadvantages that would surely hinder its business. Also consider that Sprint would be the only major wireless provider that doesn’t offer the iPhone.
About the only positives coming from Sprint right now are its joint venture with WiMax provider Clearwire and its focus on prepaid wireless, now with ownership of Boost Mobile and Virgin Mobile. However, early results from certain regions where WiMax has gained traction indicate that the service is not being perceived as competitive as originally thought. This is especially the case when compared to Verizon’s service.
Metro PCS: A Rising Star
Moreover, Metro PCS poses as a threat in the prepaid wireless segment. While Sprint still has some options remaining, I do not feel that Leap Wireless will offer much assistance. Thus, Metro PCS appears to be the best potential partner alternative for Sprint. Problem is that Metro PCS is doing much better than Sprint, and in my opinion and it has a better future.
Anyway you look at it, Sprint’s long-term future is in doubt. And if the AT&T/T-Mobile deal is approved, it will weaken Sprint’s long-term prospects much more. While Sprint will likely continue to remain as the low-budget wireless carrier, the problem is that the pricing advantages held by AT&T and Verizon will eventually threaten this segment as well. Eventually, I do not see Sprint lasting unless it merges with Metro PCS. With only two players, this scenario I have described will be that much worse.
AT&T/T-Mobile Deal Analysis
Based on our analysis, AT&T is overpaying for T-Mobile by about $10 billion. But that certainly is nothing new. Most companies overpay for acquisitions.
So the real question becomes the expected synergies to be generated by the deal. Our analysis shows that the union could amount to $3 to $4 billion in annual synergies, boosting margins to 40% to 44%. However, we do not expect these synergies to be achieved prior to 2013. Finally, merger and restructuring costs could weigh on earnings for several months after the deal closes.
In addition, Deutsche Telekom (which owns T-Mobile) gets a seat on AT&T’s board. This could open the door for expanded business between the two companies similar to the relationship enjoyed by Verizon and UK’s Vodafone. For those who do not now, Vodafone owns 45% of Verizon.
Chance of Deal Approval and Consequences for Consumers    
The approval process for the AT&T and T-Mobile USA is expected to take another 6 to 8 months. The consensus opinion is that the deal will eventually be approved. I tend to agree with this assessment based on what I know about how these things work. As a matter of fact, I would be surprised if the deal was not approved since AT&T has been able to attain monopoly status over the past few years with other acquisitions. However, the fact is that if the FCC and FTC were doing their job, the deal should be rejected.
It should be clear by now that Washington is not concerned about protecting industries against monopoly-like status. This is part of the problem faced by U.S. consumers in virtually all industries. We all know what will happen as AT&T and Verizon emerge as the final two players. Prices will go up and low-cost choices will go down. It’s the Wal-Mart effect all over again.
Furthermore, the deal is likely to be approved as a way for Obama to make good on his promise to ensure the U.S. expands its broadband coverage.
Make no mistake about it. While short-term improvements to the overall wireless network are likely, long-term improvements will be far and few. In addition, with only three main wireless players remaining, consumers should expect higher prices (in some way, shape or form), fewer choices and less innovation. In fact, AT&T is not likely to offer T-Mobile customers the same generous plans they have in the past once contracts end. This in itself will remove a good deal of price competitiveness.
The Key Question
The really interesting thing about the deal is that AT&T has no treasury stock. That means it's potentially an all-cash deal as far as shareholders are concerned (although there are several ways to structure the ownership segment so that AT&T is not forced to hand over stock).  Looking at the net debt of AT&T and it's easy to see that the deal, if approved is likely to result in a dividend cut.  This is a significant risk.
AT&T currently pays out about $10 billion in annual dividends to common shareholders. That's a good deal of cash to pay out when you hold debt of around $60 billion.
Furthermore, when you need an additional $40 billion, I don't think there is any question where a good chunk of this money will come from. Amazingly, I've heard no mention of a dividend cut by anyone.  
As part of the conditions for approval, AT&T will likely be required sell major assets and present specific plans to expand its service to poor service areas. This could present some opportunities for market expansion for smaller carriers such as CenturyTel and others.
In the short and intermediate-term, the big winner is (in my opinion) MetroPCS, while the loser is Sprint. Long-term I would expect the T-Mobile deal to benefit AT&T. However, the timing for investors will be critical.
So is this the time to be buying or selling AT&T? 
You can find the answer to this and many other questions by subscribing to the Intelligent Investor. 
Each issue of the Intelligent Investor is approximately 70-80pp and covers the following topics:
1) U.S. Economic Overview - focus on real estate
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4) Crude Oil Analysis and Forecast
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