"There are two sorts of wealth-getting, as I have said; one is a part of household management, the other is retail trade: the former necessary and honorable, while that which consists in exchange is justly censured; for it is unnatural, and a mode by which men gain from one another. The most hated sort, and with the greatest reason, is usury, which makes a gain out of money itself, and not from the natural object of it. For money was intended to be used in exchange, but not to increase at interest. And this term interest, which means the birth of money from money, is applied to the breeding of money because the offspring resembles the parent. Wherefore of modes of getting wealth this is the most unnatural."

- Politics, Aristotle, 350 B.C.

"The Jew alone regards his race as superior to humanity, and looks forward not to its ultimate union with other races, but to its triumph over them all and to its final ascendancy under the leadership of a tribal Messiah."

- Goldwin Smith, The Jewish Question, October 1881

“I am a most unhappy man. I have unwittingly ruined my country. A great industrial nation is controlled by its system of credit. Our system of credit is concentrated. The growth of the nation, therefore, and all our activities are in the hands of a few men. We have come to be one of the worst ruled, one of the most completely controlled and dominated governments in the civilized world. No longer a government by free opinion, no longer a government by conviction and the vote of the majority, but a government by the opinion and duress of a small group of dominant men.”

- President Woodrow Wilson 1916

“We are grateful to the Washington Post, The New York Times, Time Magazine and other great publications whose directors have attended our meetings and respected their promises of discretion for almost forty years. It would have been impossible for us to develop our plan for the world if we had been subjected to the lights of publicity during those years. But, the world is now more sophisticated and prepared to march towards a world government. The supranational sovereignty of an intellectual elite and world bankers is surely preferable to the national auto-determination practiced in past centuries.”

- David Rockefeller, Baden-Baden, Germany 1991

“It is well enough that people of the nation do not understand our banking and monetary system, for if they did, I believe there would be a revolution before tomorrow morning.”

- Henry Ford 

“The real truth of the matter is, as you and I know, that a financial element in the larger centers has owned the Government ever since the days of Andrew Jackson.”

- Franklin D. Roosevelt, letter to Col. House, November 21, l933

“One of the least understood strategies of the world revolution now moving rapidly toward its goal is the use of mind control as a major means of obtaining the consent of the people who will be subjects of the New World Order.”

- The National Educator, K.M. Heaton

"We Jews, we, the destroyers, will remain the destroyers for ever. Nothing that you will do will meet our needs and demands. We will for ever destroy because we need a world of our own, a God-world, which it is not in your nature to build."

- Maurice Samuels, You Gentiles, 1924

“We are on the verge of a global transformation. All we need is the right major crisis and the nations will accept the New World Order.”

- David Rockefeller 

“Today, America would be outraged if U.N. troops entered Los Angeles to restore order. Tomorrow they will be grateful! This is especially true if they were told that there were an outside threat from beyond, whether real or promulgated, that threatened our very existence. It is then that all peoples of the world will plead to deliver them from this evil. The one thing every man fears is the unknown. When presented with this scenario, individual rights will be willingly relinquished for the guarantee of their well-being granted to them by the World Government.”

- Dr. Henry Kissinger, Bilderberger Conference, Evians, France, 1991

How to Think Clearly

"Never argue with stupid people. They will drag you down to their level and then beat you with experience." –Mark Twain

If you want to begin to understand and appreciate the work of Mike Stathis, from his market forecasts and securities analysis to his political and economic analysis, you will first need to learn how to think clearly. For many, this will be a cleansing process that could take quite a long time to complete depending on each individual.

The best way to begin to clear your mind is to first move forward with this series of steps:

1. GET RID OF YOUR TV SET (at least cancel your cable)


3. DO NOT USE A "SMART PHONE" (or at least do not use your phone to access the internet)


The cleansing process will take time but you can hasten the process by being proactive in exercising your mind.

You should also be aware of a very common behavior exhibited by humans who have been exposed to the various aspects of modern society. This behavior occurs when an individual overestimates his abilities and knowledge, while underestimating his weaknesses and lack of understanding. This behavior has been coined the "Dunning-Kruger Effect" after to sociologists who described it in a research publication. See here.

Many people today think they are virtual experts on every topic they regard with relevance. The reason for this illusory behavior is because these individuals typically allow themselves to become brainwashed by various media outlets. The more information these individuals obtain on these topics from the media, the more qualified they feel they are in these subjects, without realizing that the media is not a valid source with which to use for understanding something. The media always has bias and can never be relied on to represent the full truth.

A perfect example of the Dunning-Kruger Effect can be seen with many individuals who listen to talk radio shows. These shows are politically biased and consist of individuals who resemble used car salesmen more than intellectuals. These talking heads brainwash their audience with cherry-picked facts, misstatements and lies regarding relevant issues such as healthcare, immigration, Social Security, Medicaid, economics, science, and so forth. They also select guests for interview based on the agendas they wish to fulfill with their advertisers.

Once their audience has been indoctrinated by these propagandists, they feel qualified to discuss these topics on the same level as a real authority, without realizing that they obtained their understanding from individuals who are employed as professional liars and manipulators by the media.  Another good example of the Dunning-Kruger Effect can be seen upon examination of political pundits, stock market and economic analysts on TV.  They talk a good game because they are professional speakers. But once you examine their track record, it is clear that these individuals are largely wrong, but they have developed an inflated sense of expertise and knowledge on topics for which they continuously demonstrate their incompetence.

One of the most insightful analogies created to explain how things are often not what you see was Plato's Allegory of the Cave, from Book 7 of the Republic.

We highly recommend that you study this masterpiece in great detail so that you are better able to use logic and reason.Although we recommend you read and study The Allegory of the Cave, you can get a flavor for its meaning by watching the following video. 

If you can learn how to think like a philosopher, specifically one of the great ancient Greek philosophers, it is highly unlikely that you will ever be fooled by con artists like those who make ridiculous and unfounded claims in order to pump gold and silver, the typical get-rich-quick or multi-level marketing (MLM) crowd.

STOP Being Taken

“Beware of false prophets, which come to you in sheep's clothing, but inwardly they are ravening wolves.”

King James Bible - Matthew 7:15

"It's easier to fool people than to convince them that they have been fooled." –Mark Twain

All Viewpoints Are Not Created Equal Just because something is published in print, online or aired in the broadcast media does not make it accurate.  In fact, more often than not the larger the audience, the more likely the content is either inaccurate or slanted. The next time you read something about economics or investments, you should ask two main questions in order to assess the credibility of the source. Is the source biased in any way?   That is, do they have any agendas which would provide any type of benefit accounting for their views? Most individuals either sell ads on their site or are dealers of precious metals or securities. That means their views are biased and cannot be relied upon.

Is your source is credible?  

Most people associate credibility with name-recognition. But more often than not, name-recognition serves as a predictor of bias if not lack of credibility because the more a name is recognized, the more the individual has been plastered in the media. And every intelligent person knows that individuals who have been provided with media exposure because they are either naive or clueless. The media positions these types of individuals as “credible experts” in order to please its financial sponsors; Wall Street. 

Instead of name-recognition or media celebrity status, you must determine whether your source has relevant experience on Wall Street as opposed to being self-taught. But this is just a basic hurdle that in itself by no means ensures the source is competent or credible. More important, always examine the track record of your source in depth, looking for accuracy and specific forecasts rather than open-ended statements. You must also look for timing since a broken clock is always right once a day.  Finally, make sure they do not cherry-pick their best calls. Always examine their entire track record. 

“Beware of false prophets, which come to you in sheep's clothing, but inwardly they are ravening wolves.”

King James Bible - Matthew 7:15

The above questions require only slight modification for use in determining the credibility of sources that discuss other topics, such as politics, healthcare, etc.We have compiled the most extensive publication exposing hundreds of con men pertaining to the financial publishing and securities industry, although we also cover numerous con men in the media and other front groups since they are all associated in some way with each other. There is perhaps no one else in the world capable of shedding the full light on these con men other than Mike Stathis. Mike has been studying the indistry for well over a decade. Alhough he has published numerous articles and videos addressing this dark side of the industry, the entire collection can be found in our ENCYCLOPEDIA of Bozos, Hacks, Snake Oil Salesmen and Faux Heroes
At AVA Investment Analytics, we don't try to pump gold, silver or equities like many others you see because we are not promoters or marketers. And we do not receive any compensation whatsoever (including from ads) from our content. We provide individual investors, financial advisers, analysts and fund managers with world-class research, education and unique insight.

Media Lies

If you listen to the media, most likely it is costing you hundreds of thousands of dollars in lost money at minimum over the course of your lifetime. The deceit, lies and useless guidance from the financial media certainly is a large contributor of these losses to the sheep you pay attention.

But a good deal of lost wealth comes in the form of excessive consumerism which the media seeks to impose on its audience. You aren’t going to know that you’re being brainwashed or that you have lost $1 million or $2 million over your life time due to the media, but I can guarantee you that with rare exception this is the reality for those who are naïve enough to waste time on the media.

It gets worse. By listening to the media, you are likely to also suffer ill health effects through the lack of timely coverage of toxic prescription drugs or through the ridiculous medical shows, all of which are supportive of the medical-industrial complex.

And if you seek out the so-called "alternative media" you might make the mistake of relying on con men like Kevin Trudeau or Alex Jones. This could be a deadly decision. As bad as traditional media is, the so-called "alternative media" is even worse.

Why Does the Media Air Liars and Con Men?

The goal of the media is NOT to serve its audience because the audience does NOT pay the bills.

The goal of the media is to please its sponsors, or the companies that spend huge dollars buying ads, and in order for companies to justify these expenses, they need the media to represent their cause. The media does this by airing idiots and con men who mislead and confuse their audience.

By engaging in "journalistic fraud," the media steers its audience into the arms of its advertisers because the audience is now misled and confused, so in the case of the financial media, it seeks the assistance of Wall Street brokerage firms, mutual funds, insurance companies, precious metals dealers. This is why advertisers pay big money to be promoted in the financial media.

We see the same thing on a more obvious note in the so-called "alternative media," which is really a remanufactured version of the so-called "mainstream media." Do not be fooled. There is no such thing as the "alternative media." 

In order to be considered "media" you must have content that has widespread channels of distribution. Thus, all "media" is widely distributed and the same powers that control the distribution of the so-called "mainstream media" also control the distribution of the so-called "alternative media."

The claim that there is an "alternative media" is merely a sales pitch designed to capture the audience that has since given up on the "mainstream media."  The tactic is a very common one used by con men.

The same tactic is used by Washington to convince naive voters that there are meaningful differences between the nation's two political parties. In reality, both parties are essentially the same when it comes to issues that matter most (trade policy, healthcare and war). Anyone who tells you anything different simply isn't thinking straight.

On this site, we expose the lies and the liars in the media. We discuss and reveal the motives and track record of the media’s hand-selected charlatans with a focus on the financial media.  

Why Stathis Was Banned

No one has generated a more accurate track record in the investment markets over the past several years than Mike Stathis. Yet, the financial media wants nothing to do with Stathis.

You aren't even going to hear him on the radio being interviewed.

You aren't going to see him mentioned on any websites either.

You won't read or hear of his remarkable track record unless you read about it on this website or read his books.

You should be wondering why this might be. Some of you already know the answer.

The media has banned Mike Stathis because the trick is to air clowns so that the audience will be steered into the hands of the media's financial sponsors - Wall Street and gold dealers.

And as for the radio shows and websites that either don't know about Stathis or don't care to hear what he has to say, the fact is that they are so stupid that they assume those who are plastered in the media are credible. And since they haven't seen or heard Stathis in the media, even if they come across him, they automatically assume he's a nobody in the investment world simply because he has no media exposure.

Well, if media exposure was a testament to knowledge, credibility and excellent track records, Peter Schiff's clients would be a lot happier when they looked at their account balance.

Others only care about pitching what’s deemed as the “hot” topic because this sells ads in terms of more site visits or reads. This is why you come across so many websites based on doom and conspiratorial horse shit run by con artists looking to cash in on ads.

We have donated countless hours and huge sums of money towards the pursuit of exposing the con men, lies and fraud. We continue this mission but we cannot continue it forever without your assistance.

We have been banned by virtually every media platform in the U.S and every website (mainly because we expose the truth about gold and silver).

We have been banned from use of email marketing providers.

The fact is that the Jewish Mafia has declared war on us because we have exposed the realities of the U.S. government, Wall Street and corporate America.

Note that we only began discussing the role of Jews in criminality by 2009, three years AFTER we had been black-listed by the media, so no one can say that our criticism of the Jewish Mafia has led to being black-listed, not that it would even be acceptable.

You can talk about the Italian Mafia, and Jewish Hollywood can make 100s of movies about it...


We rely on you to help spread the word about us. Just remember this. We don’t have to do what we are doing.

We could do as everyone else and focus on making money. We are doing sacrificing everything because in this day and age, unfortunately, the truth is revolutionary. It is also critical in order to prevent the complete enslavement of world citizenry.   

Rules to Remember

On Exposure: No one who has significant exposure can be trusted because those who are responsible for permitting such exposure have allowed it for a very good reason, and that reason does not serve your best interests.

On Spotting Frauds: Whenever you wish to know whether someone can be trusted, always remember this golden rule..."a man is judged by the company he keeps."

This is a very important rule to remember because con men almost always belong to the same network.

You will see the same con artists referencing each other, on blog rolls and so forth.

  • How to Think Clearly
  • STOP Being Taken
  • Media Lies
  • Why Stathis Was Banned
  • Rules to Remember
  • X close

Stock Market and Economic Overview

(originally published on August 9, 2011)
Approximately three months weeks ago the U.S. markets began to correct. We warned about this first correction in the May issue of our firms paid research publications.
We followed up in June, forecasting additional downside down to the 11,800 level with the highest probability. This level was to be the repurchase area for those who decided to sell positions at the top. The Dow rallied in late June after hitting 11,844.
By the time the July issue was published, the Dow was over 12,600. However, in the July issue we warned that the correction in the Dow and Nasdaq was not finished. Without hesitation, we warned of at least another correction in coming days down to 12,150, with additional downside to the 11,800 and 11,500 levels. We also discussed the 11,200 level as a reasonable possibility. Shortly after the July issue was published, the Dow rose to over 12,700, then began to correct. As it turned out, these two corrections now represent a larger correction period which has shifted the market into a bearish trend.
Over the past week, several events have occurred which have now caused us to place our bias for more downside. Thus, at the present time we view corrections down to more extreme levels as buying opportunities.
On Friday August 5, the Dow closed at 11,444 after testing the 11,200 level, hitting an intraday low of 11,134. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq closed at 2532 after having tested the 2450 level. While both markets staged an impressive late day rally to close significantly off the intraday lows, the rally in the Dow was more impressive.
However, based on our current analysis, it’s apparent that the Dow and Nasdaq will decline lower in coming days. Even the worst-case scenario bottom is possible over the next several weeks/months. Overall, investors should view the correction levels mentioned above less as buying opportunities unless you plan to engage in short-term trading.
On the positive side, we believe these corrections will represent buying opportunities (for select securities), but this could change depending on what happens in the U.S., EU, Japan and elsewhere in coming months; whether or not and when to buy will also depend on your investment horizon.
Regardless, even after factoring in minimal adverse events in the global economy, the bounce back up is likely to be delayed. This means you should be in no rush to buy into the market because a definitive trend reversal (from bearish to bullish) is likely to take several months. During that time, we expect a good deal of volatility, with some nice rallies. 
Because we are entering a psychological transition, and investors have not yet fully digested the most recent events over the past week. Separately, each of the recent events probably would not have caused reason for much concern. However, the combined impact and timing of these events is worrisome.
As well, we recently uncovered some very additional concerns I intend to detail in our paid research publications. Let’s discuss the recent events which have caused investors to become worried. First, on July 29th, the latest GDP data was released, and it was very bad. Q1 GDP was revised from 1.9% growth to 0.4%. Meanwhile, Q2 GDP came in at 1.3% (which I am certain will be revised downward in coming quarters).
For several months we have been discussing our view that the reported GDP data was too high and would be revised downward. However, even we did not expect the downward revision to come so fast. The timing of the revision to Q1 GDP data came at the worst possible time. The recent GDP data was followed by declining growth in consumer spending, the slowest in two years. With little doubt, consumers will spend even less in coming months.
Keep in mind that the first half of 2011 is likely to be the strong half of the year. We have been alerting our clients to this forecast for several months. Thus, as you can imagine, the remaining two quarters are going to be pretty bad by the time all revisions have been made. Also keep in mind that the funds from the economic stimulus are nearly exhausted. When the stimulus was passed in early 2009, I insisted that several more stimulus packages would be required over the next several years. 
Next, we had the debt ceiling drama, which caused the world to focus on the state of the U.S. economy. Although this circus show had been ongoing for a few months, its impact rose as the August 2nd deadline approached.
The entire world watched Washington make fools of themselves. More important, it was this charade that actually led in large part to Friday’s downgrade of U.S. debt; another problem (psychological, not economic) is only beginning to be priced into the market. Once the debt ceiling was raised, it added more negativity to the economy and markets due to the ridiculously low level of spending cuts passed, in exchange for agreement to raise the ceiling. 
As I have insisted throughout, the recession which began in December 2007 never ended. Furthermore, the term "double-dip" recession is not possible. In fact, the term is not even valid, as I have discussed in the past. Similar to the structural employment rational used by Washington to account for the chronically high unemployment, the same fools have come up with double-dip so as to imply that real progress has been made in the economy. However, the data paints a different picture. As it stands today, the current recession has now persisted longer than the longest recession from the past 150 years.
While the market had been doing a nice job stomaching the miserable state of the housing and job markets, these recent events, along with an early market sell-off increased the selling pressure. Going forward, negative events and perceptions (problems in the EU, etc.) will be magnified by investors. The same applies to economic data.
If these recent events had not occurred, we believe that the Dow would have likely rallied off of the 11,800 or 11,500 support, even with the latest GDP data. Only later would the Dow have settled to the 11,500 area as economic data rolled in towards the fall. Thereafter, the market would have likely rallied in coming months back to the 12,500 level. In other words, Washington (both parties) shares a good deal of responsibility for the market decline. Remember that when you run out of money during what were supposed to be your Golden Years.
But things are different now. As the markets react in coming days/weeks, we plan to reassess the critical support level in order to determine under what circumstances it could break down.  
After a huge sell-off in the market yesterday, things are looking even more concerning. The Dow closed at 10,809.85 for the day, down a whopping 634.76 points for a one-day loss of 5.55%. The S&P 500 declined to 1119.28, before closing at 1119.46, falling by 79.92 points, for a decline of an eye-popping 6.66%. Even worse, the Nasdaq lost 174.72 points to 2357.69, for a one-day loss of 6.90%.
But the biggest loser for the day was the Russell 2000, down by 63.67 points for a one-day stunning loss of 8.91%. 
Today marks the first that we have seen some signs of life from the capital markets. Prior to Tuesday’s close, we saw no let up from this sell-off for 11 to 13 days, depending on which index we are talking about. As of Monday, August 8, 2011, in a period of just under two weeks, the Dow has shed nearly 2000 points for a decline of more than 15.2%.
Even worse, the Nasdaq has collapsed by more than 500 points or by more than 17.4% over the same period. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has collapsed by more than 16.9%, while the Russell has imploded by nearly 23%. Fortunately, investors found an excuse to buy into the market on Tuesday, pushing the Dow and Nasdaq up by about 4% and 5%, respectively.
While the indices have been generally closing each trading session right around key support levels, they continue to break down below the previous close each day. Thus, it would appear that Dow 10,500 and Nasdaq 2150 are right around the corner, with Dow 10,000 and Nasdaq 2000 not far behind. This is very concerning because investors have not allowed time for things to digest. If they did, we would not be seeing these harsh sell-offs. Panic is leading the way.
Right now, it’s best to sit back and wait for the market to calm a bit. The first stage in the calming process is for the market to mount some decent rallies.
We also expect to see some market rallies similar to what we saw today. The extent and magnitude of rallies will depend in part on how much the Dow and Nasdaq decline per unit time, as well as any potential actions taken by from Washington, the Fed, and the ECB.
The key point is that there should be no rush to buy into corrections unless you are an aggressive trader because we see no catalysts right now that could serve to reverse this bearish trend anytime soon.
Perhaps the most concerning issue is the fact that we have been unable to identify any significant tools that can be utilized by Washington or the Fed, or any possibility of good news that would serve to buoy the market. In fact, with things getting worse in the U.S., Japan and the EU, I dare not think what would happen if China experiences severe economic problems. I have little doubt that China will encounter its fair share of issues, but let’s just hope it can hold up for a couple of years. 
Meanwhile, the situation in the EU is getting worse by the day; much worse than is being discussed in the media. Most banks in Europe are in deep trouble. Although we have discussed this in past research publications, I would have thought that things would have bottomed by now. This explanation for the lack of resolve has been incompetence.
In addition, America’s largest banks continue to have a good deal of exposure to EU banks. Specifically, there is a very real possibility of certain large U.S. banks having problems disbursing money market funds if EU banks face a more severe crisis. And I will guarantee you the EU banking system is going to face some HUGE problems.
This message is not meant to encourage you will withdrawal your money from the bank, although that would be an ideal way to revolt against the crooks. We are merely pointing this out is because it gives you an idea just how bad things could get.
While officials and banking regulators have a much better understanding of the risks and spillover effects than a few years ago, I doubt they realize the full severity of the risks. In short, we do not think we will see a series of events like that in 2008 which resulted in the financial crisis, at least in the U.S. anyway. However, we are likely to see some pretty big shocks to certain banks at some point, mainly in Europe. While the impact is likely to be contained, the problem is that the markets would most likely react in panic.  
Although China’s banks remain well-with high reserves ratios, as a communist nation making the transition into a more market-driven economy, China has very little experience dealing with this experiment in capitalism. Certainly China has some unique advantages that would help it mitigate the effects of soaring defaults say due to the effect of a real estate collapse.
However, the fact is that the Yuan is not a freely-floating currency. Although China has received an enormous source of investment capital from around the world, its economy and financial system remain relatively closed to the world. This could pose as an Achilles heel if a crisis were to strike this nation.
That said, I want to caution you against listening to the various clowns seen and heard in the media, both mainstream and alternative, who have been making stark "predictions" of doomsday and so forth. In my opinion, not a single one of these clowns has a respectable track record, much less any level of credibility. These men are sensationalists and salesmen.  You might recognize the names - Schiff, Shiller, Schilling, Weiss, Prechter, Faber and so on. Perhaps the worst of the worst is Gerald Celente, who really serves to position the financial media into TMZ.
On the other hand, the perma-bull market extremists are nearly as dangerous and equally as useless - Cramer, Kudlow, and the entire CNBC crew, Wall Street economists and strategists, Washington economists and other officials, the Federal Reserve and the print media.
Always remember, extremists are always useless and often dangerous. Most the time, the truth is somewhere in-between extremes. This comes from someone who actually predicted the precise details of America's Second Great Depression in print and in 2006.
Finally, we at AVA Investment Analytics would like to offer you eight recommendations, as you deal with the current market.
The first recommendation pertains to those who are a bit more active. If you decide to buy into the market prior to seeing a definitive market reversal, you should be ready, willing and able to take the trade when you get it. Otherwise, you might run out of cash while you are forced to sit and watch the market fall much lower.
Second, you should focus only on buying large, strong companies during this period of growing uncertainty. While you may want to buy some smaller names, you should only devote a small portion of these positions to your total investment portfolio.
Third, you should have a general bias for stock that pay nice cash dividends. But this is not enough. You should also look for companies with a long history of dividend growth and stability. You can also look for hybrids, or stocks that offer relatively high dividends companied with relatively nice dividend growth and dividend safety. The key thing here is to understand what you are willing to sacrifice for the benefits you seek. You aren’t going to accomplish this difficult task by using stock screening tools and other investment epiphanies.
Fourth, you need to wait for compelling value.
Fifth, be patient.
Sixth, act with ration and don’t panic.
Seventh, do NOT use margin. In fact, you should never use margin unless you are a very experienced investor because we never know what will happen. If you do decide to use margin, you should use it only for short-term trades.
Eighth, know your limitations and never step outside of these boundaries.
If you want to find out where the stock market is headed, go to the source...
...the world's leading expert on the economic collapse...
...the man who predicted nearly every market correction since the collapse began...
...the man who predicted Dow 6200...
...the man who advised investors to buy at the exact bottom at Dow 6500
You know who that man is.
If you were in the market and did not trim your positions in advance of these market corrections and buy at the bottom,
If you want to remain behind the curve, keep doing what you are doing.
If you want to move ahead of the curve, subscribe to one of our newsletters while the promotional rates are still around
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