Who subscribes to the AVAIA newsletter?Individual investors, financial advisers, hedge funds, endowments, and pension plans seeking the unique insights from the world's leading expert on the economic collapse. Stathis' insights are so revealing he has been banned by the U.S. media establshment, which serves the interests of Wall Street and corporate America.
He has also been banned by the perpetual doomers, who pump gold with deceit. We have NO AGENDAS.
We have subscribers all across the USA and Canada, but also in Japan, India, Hong Kong, Singapore, Malaysia, Australia, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, France, Spain, Germany, the Netherlands, Sweden, Belgium, Denmark, and the Russian Federation. The list is growing daily, as more investors find out about Mike Stathis.
This newsletter is NOT for everyone. It is only for those who wish to advance their investment knowledge, skills and savvy. That means you will have to hard work to utilize our research. If you are lazy, if you want people to tell you what and when to buy and sell, if you do not wish to advance your skills, DO NOT SUBSCRIBE. Please make certain you understand what this newsletter provides before you subscribe because we do NOT provide refunds.
If you want to become a great investor while benefiting from the insights of the leading expert in the collapse and one of the leading investment minds today, you should sign up for our investment newsletter.
If you are looking for easy money, please do NOT subscribe. There is NO easy money. Investing successfully on a consistent basis requires a lot of hard work and commitment. We will provide you with the best guidance available.
If you are NOT willing to put in a lot of work, please do NOT subscribe.
If you watch CNBC, FOX and read content from those who follow this trash, or if you read the WSJ, IBD, Barron's and the countless useless financial magazines, you are not likely to benefit from this service.
Our investment newsletter should be thought of as an educational process; one that you will not find anywhere else in the world. Your path towards becoming a great investor is a process that will depend in large part on how much you are willing to put into your personal development. Along the way, we will guide you through the market, showing you unique insights and strategies. Finally, you will receive his legendary market forecasts, unrivaled anywhere in the world.
You WILL make money. You WILL learn how to protect what you have. You WILL become a much better investor.
The more effort you put into the guidance we provide, the more you will benefit. The longer you subscribe, the better you will become because in addition to providing you with an analysis of the economy, market, and securities, we teach you how to understand things better. Thus, our newsletter should also be viewed as a real-time educational course. We don't just want to show you good investments or alert you of risk, we also want to show you how to become a better investor. No other investment newsletter does this.
Each monthly newsletter is approximately 40-50pp.
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You should note that we do not consider this to be a commercial website or a commercial newsletter. We do NOT have a huge staff of marketers and customer support reps for a good reason. We provide research and we want it to be affordible to everyone who wants to be freed from the depency of Wall Street, the media, and associated hacks. The only way we can do this is to keep operating costs at a minimum. Therefore, you should not expect to have every issue you have resolved immediately. But you should expect to receive the highest quality research and investment education available. That is what we strive to provide.
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You need to ask the media why they have banned Mike Stathis. There is no one in the world who can match his track record on the economic collapse. All of his other accurate forecasts aside, there was no one in the world who predicted in a book that the Dow could collapse to 6000, but who also told people to buy at 6500 in March. He predicted (in his 2006 book) that Fannie and Freddie would be bailed out, and so much more.
This link contains Mike Stathis' track record on the economic collapse.
Spend some time reading the insights of Mike Stathis, from his articles to his landmark books, and you will see why others claiming to be experts with terrible track records are featured contributors to the biggest media publications and investment websites, all while Stathis has been banned. They do NOT want you to be exposed to valuable insights. You need to wake up and smell the coffee.
Don't look at celebrity status. We have Paris Hilton for that. If you are an investor, you need to look at track records. You need to very carefully examine the track record of every person you decide to follow. You need to avoid those with agendas. Thereafter, you will realize it's all a big game designed to mislead you, to screw you, to take your money. Mike Stathis is the ONLY real expert on YOUR SIDE.
When you see others boasting how they have been featured in the media, like CNBC or FBN, or financial websites like thestreet.com, the businessinsider, The Huffington Post, or print media like the Financial Times, the Wall Street Journal, MarketWatch, and so on, you had better run like Hell because that tells you whose side they are on and how useless they are to YOU. If you can't see that I suggest you research the track records of your favorite financial media celebrity. They are there for a good reason and it's to make sure you get hosed either through useless insight due to their ignorance, or through scare tactics or hype as a way to pitch their investments or products to you. Either way, if you pay attention to the media for investment or economic insights, I will GUARANTEE you will get screwed.
The media won't let real experts who are commiited to providing you with valuable insight in their club because that would make it more difficult for their financial sponsors (Wall Street and corporate America) to take your money. This is the way things work so I suggest you get up to speed; that is, if you want to finally end the cycle of investment losses and lies.
The financial media is lying to you for a reason. They are Wall Street's client. Wall Street spends billions of dollars buying ads and commercials. And if the media delvered timely, accurate insights, Wall Street would be unable to take your money.
That is why the media hand-picks hacks and positions them as experts, but they are almost never real experts. Their track records verify that. On the (very) rare occassion the financial media actually airs real experts, they are there to manipulate the sheep. Consider the case of Warren Buffet for instance.
If you pay attention to print and broadcast media you are being fooled. If you have not learned that by now, you probably never will. We advise you to read the articles Mike Stathis has written on media deception so you can understand the tricks they use to fool you.
Those of you who are familiar with my previous publications know my real estate forecasts remain unchanged since first published in 2006. To reiterate, I’m expecting an average decline from peak prices of 30% (best case scenario) to 35% (worst case scenario), sending home values back to pre-1999 levels. Within the next three years, mortgage rates should approach 8% and take off thereafter. Soon, we will see a 1970s type inflationary period. This will bode well for owners of real estate rental units.
We have already duplicated a portion of the ‘70s, with record gold and oil prices while inflation is mounting. Most likely, the Fed will try to delay raising rates past the 5.0% range until after 2011. By the end of 2011, most of the ARMs and Alt-As will have reset. Thereafter, I am expecting rates to take off. They’ll have to. By that time, inflation is likely to be so high that even Washington’s number games won’t be able to hide the truth any longer. Then again, we should never count out Washington’s ability to deceive those who they have been elected to serve.
Source: Credit Suisse
My forecasts are contingent on many variables. The largest and most uncertain of these variables is Bernanke. As we know from the past, he has not always acted in a manner that one would expect. But one thing you can be assured of - when I make forecasts, I’m very meticulous in testing all scenarios. And unlike other analysts and economists, I do not modify my forecasts every month or quarter based on newly reported economic data. Why don’t I do this? Because most of this data is usually noise.
Understanding the macro trends is what really matters. The big picture doesn’t change based upon daily, weekly, monthly or even quarterly data. So when you see knee-jerk reactions from analysts and economists based on transient changes in data, you should question whether they really know what’s going on or whether they’re just shifting the picture for their own agendas. If forecasts change every month, how can they be taken seriously? I’m talking about forecasting, not broadcasting.
Foreclosure Avalanche
In 2007, government figures show 1.5 million foreclosures were initiated. No one knows yet how many actually closed because of pre-foreclosures other potential transactions. For 2008, consensus estimates expect 2.5 million foreclosures. Since August 2007, the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) has restructured loans for 250,000 homeowners enabling them to remain in their homes. As of July 2007, HOPE NOW Alliance has done the same for 1.7 million homeowners. And now it is helping 200,000 homeowners stay in their homes every month.
Without this assistance, there could be up to 6 million foreclosures in less than two years since the commencement of the real estate meltdown. When I published my forecasts in 2006, I estimated between 8 to 10 million foreclosures would occur by 2014. A few months later I raised this estimate to 15 million by 2016 prior to releasing the real estate book. I usually use the conservative side of my forecasts. And it appears as if this will turn out to be somewhat conservative. Back when I released these books, many thought I was a nut to make what were viewed as ridiculously high estimates. It’s funny how sentiment can change in such a short time.
The Small Banks Will Fail
In the coming months, I expect to see several bank failures. Not Citigroup or Bank of America. The “Big 5” won’t fail because the Fed would never permit it. You know the Fed – the entity that’s owned and operated by the “Big 5.” It will be the small local and medium regional banks that fail (however, while not one of the “Big 5” it appears likely that Washington Mutual will be bought by TPG over the next two years). By the time the washout is finished we could see several hundred take a fall. If we include those destined for the auction block, I can almost guarantee you there will be hundreds of failures. Apparently, the FDIC understands these possibilities. As of March 26, 2008 the agency increased its staff by an additional 60% in anticipation of many more bank failures. “We want to make sure that we’re prepared,” said Jon Bovenzi, the FDIC’s chief operating officer.
After so much denial and deceit by Washington and the media, at some point you need wonder why this isn’t the kind of news that dominates the airwaves. You know, news you can actually use to your benefit. Let me solve this mystery. The job of the media establishment is not to warn consumers of anything that has not yet happened, especially during a crisis. They feel that it will only create a self-fulfilling prophecy. And you better believe Washington communicates with the heads of each television network to ensure they don’t let the cat out of the bag. Instead, their theme is denial. That is why it’s rare for investors to be warned in advance from anyone in the media.
When the smaller banks fail, the “Big 5” will snatch them up at pennies on the dollar compliments of Bernanke’s printing presses. Maybe now you can see why every nation wants to get as far away from the dollar as possible. They understand the worst is yet to come. Bernanke’s “Big 5” banking bailout is only ensuring the dollar crisis will continue. However, no nation will be able to completely escape the effects of the falling dollar since it remains the universal currency. It is deeply embedded within global commerce and has extensive reach throughout the global financial system.
And of course, you must have the dollar to buy oil. But this could change. In fact, Iran has already tried to convince OPEC members to follow its lead in demanding Euro payments for oil on its newly created oil exchange (I previously discussed this global dependence on the dollar in the article “The Big Secret about Peak Oil and the U.S. Military”). In the meantime, most nations continue to hedge the weak dollar by increasing gold reserves. As for the Middle East, they have their hedge against a weak dollar – oil.
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