Who subscribes to the AVAIA newsletter?Individual investors, financial advisers, hedge funds, endowments, and pension plans seeking the unique insights from the world's leading expert on the economic collapse. Stathis' insights are so revealing he has been banned by the U.S. media establshment, which serves the interests of Wall Street and corporate America.
He has also been banned by the perpetual doomers, who pump gold with deceit. We have NO AGENDAS.
We have subscribers all across the USA and Canada, but also in Japan, India, Hong Kong, Singapore, Malaysia, Australia, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, France, Spain, Germany, the Netherlands, Sweden, Belgium, Denmark, and the Russian Federation. The list is growing daily, as more investors find out about Mike Stathis.
This newsletter is NOT for everyone. It is only for those who wish to advance their investment knowledge, skills and savvy. That means you will have to hard work to utilize our research. If you are lazy, if you want people to tell you what and when to buy and sell, if you do not wish to advance your skills, DO NOT SUBSCRIBE. Please make certain you understand what this newsletter provides before you subscribe because we do NOT provide refunds.
If you want to become a great investor while benefiting from the insights of the leading expert in the collapse and one of the leading investment minds today, you should sign up for our investment newsletter.
If you are looking for easy money, please do NOT subscribe. There is NO easy money. Investing successfully on a consistent basis requires a lot of hard work and commitment. We will provide you with the best guidance available.
If you are NOT willing to put in a lot of work, please do NOT subscribe.
If you watch CNBC, FOX and read content from those who follow this trash, or if you read the WSJ, IBD, Barron's and the countless useless financial magazines, you are not likely to benefit from this service.
Our investment newsletter should be thought of as an educational process; one that you will not find anywhere else in the world. Your path towards becoming a great investor is a process that will depend in large part on how much you are willing to put into your personal development. Along the way, we will guide you through the market, showing you unique insights and strategies. Finally, you will receive his legendary market forecasts, unrivaled anywhere in the world.
You WILL make money. You WILL learn how to protect what you have. You WILL become a much better investor.
The more effort you put into the guidance we provide, the more you will benefit. The longer you subscribe, the better you will become because in addition to providing you with an analysis of the economy, market, and securities, we teach you how to understand things better. Thus, our newsletter should also be viewed as a real-time educational course. We don't just want to show you good investments or alert you of risk, we also want to show you how to become a better investor. No other investment newsletter does this.
Each monthly newsletter is approximately 40-50pp.
Special reports are sent out on occassion between issues.
You should note that we do not consider this to be a commercial website or a commercial newsletter. We do NOT have a huge staff of marketers and customer support reps for a good reason. We provide research and we want it to be affordible to everyone who wants to be freed from the depency of Wall Street, the media, and associated hacks. The only way we can do this is to keep operating costs at a minimum. Therefore, you should not expect to have every issue you have resolved immediately. But you should expect to receive the highest quality research and investment education available. That is what we strive to provide.
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You need to ask the media why they have banned Mike Stathis. There is no one in the world who can match his track record on the economic collapse. All of his other accurate forecasts aside, there was no one in the world who predicted in a book that the Dow could collapse to 6000, but who also told people to buy at 6500 in March. He predicted (in his 2006 book) that Fannie and Freddie would be bailed out, and so much more.
This link contains Mike Stathis' track record on the economic collapse.
Spend some time reading the insights of Mike Stathis, from his articles to his landmark books, and you will see why others claiming to be experts with terrible track records are featured contributors to the biggest media publications and investment websites, all while Stathis has been banned. They do NOT want you to be exposed to valuable insights. You need to wake up and smell the coffee.
Don't look at celebrity status. We have Paris Hilton for that. If you are an investor, you need to look at track records. You need to very carefully examine the track record of every person you decide to follow. You need to avoid those with agendas. Thereafter, you will realize it's all a big game designed to mislead you, to screw you, to take your money. Mike Stathis is the ONLY real expert on YOUR SIDE.
When you see others boasting how they have been featured in the media, like CNBC or FBN, or financial websites like thestreet.com, the businessinsider, The Huffington Post, or print media like the Financial Times, the Wall Street Journal, MarketWatch, and so on, you had better run like Hell because that tells you whose side they are on and how useless they are to YOU. If you can't see that I suggest you research the track records of your favorite financial media celebrity. They are there for a good reason and it's to make sure you get hosed either through useless insight due to their ignorance, or through scare tactics or hype as a way to pitch their investments or products to you. Either way, if you pay attention to the media for investment or economic insights, I will GUARANTEE you will get screwed.
The media won't let real experts who are commiited to providing you with valuable insight in their club because that would make it more difficult for their financial sponsors (Wall Street and corporate America) to take your money. This is the way things work so I suggest you get up to speed; that is, if you want to finally end the cycle of investment losses and lies.
The financial media is lying to you for a reason. They are Wall Street's client. Wall Street spends billions of dollars buying ads and commercials. And if the media delvered timely, accurate insights, Wall Street would be unable to take your money.
That is why the media hand-picks hacks and positions them as experts, but they are almost never real experts. Their track records verify that. On the (very) rare occassion the financial media actually airs real experts, they are there to manipulate the sheep. Consider the case of Warren Buffet for instance.
If you pay attention to print and broadcast media you are being fooled. If you have not learned that by now, you probably never will. We advise you to read the articles Mike Stathis has written on media deception so you can understand the tricks they use to fool you.
I've read and heard countless investors who have been thinking the banks were a "good deal" since the first big market sell off in January 2008. Since then many are down another 60% - some even more.
Every month I see new investors looking to pick up a "bargain" in the financials without realizing the only bargains have been short positions. Most investors have been programmed by the financial media to always buy stocks when they go down because "in the long-term they are a great value."
Well I don't know about you, but long-term to me means at least 20 years. And anyone who considers long-term any shorter than that needs to consider these sobering facts:
Since making its highs in March 2008, the Nasdaq is still down by over 55%; that's going on 8 years folks. In the 'best of scenarios' I cannot see those highs being tested for at least another 8 years.
Since making its highs in 1990, the Nikkei is still down more than 65%. Next year will mark 20 years since the Nikkei approached 40,000.
Finally, since making its highs in 1999, the Dow is now by about 3% after 9 years. Most likely the Dow will go considerably lower
These are things to consider when buying stocks in general. But when we are talking about the biggest banking crisis ever, things look much worse. The financials continue to write down assets and take losses. And they still have no idea how large the total losses will be. Finally, they continue to sell off assets and raise capital using debt, and more so by issuing new equity.
Now, what do you think is going to happen to say, Citigroup (C) once it realizes all its losses?
Next, consider how the future of its ability to deliver earnings after selling off assets.
Finally, consider what the shareholder dilution will do to per share earnings. Yet, Citigroup is in much better shape than most of the other banks.
Before it's all said and done you should expect to see most of the financials trading in the teens, some the single digits (as we already see). As for Goldman Sachs (GS), I'm betting it will break down well below $100 before it's all said and done.
When you take huge losses, you can recover as long as you have strong assets to deliver earnings. But when you are selling off a good portion of these assets your ability to deliver earnings will be diluted. These dilutions are even more severe after you have issued more shares.
If you're determined to bottom-fish, you need to contend with the high possibility that things are going lower. And the trip back up is going to be slow and nerve-racking.
Those of you who are looking for a bottom need to stick with stocks that are not distressed and have already declined due to other issues, such as the drug makers. Medicare Part D combined with the retirement of up to 80 million boomers will position these stocks for at least a decent recovery. And in the meantime you can collect the huge dividends. My top pick for this strategy is Pfizer (PFE). While a large market sell off could take it down another 2 points, the current dividend yield of over 7% is quite a deal. And note that in its 41-year history of being listed on public exchanges, it has always increased the dividend.
In conclusion, with rare exception, I do not envision any point in time when I will buy the financials hoping for a long-term recovery. In the best of scenarios, the only way they will be able to mount a reasonable earnings rebound will be through share buybacks or reverse splits. But that is unlikely to happen anytime soon if ever.
Consider that Citigroup still has not realized the need to eliminate its dividend completely. It would rather sell off revenue-generating assets to raise cash like the one announced today in order to appease nervous shareholders.
But with 5.25 billion shares outstanding and an annual dividend of $1.28, this $7 billion ($4 billion post-tax) asset sale only allows them to continue dividend payments for one year. In contrast, they have lost a powerful retail presence in France, and all of the future earnings it would have brought.
These banks need to wake up and start managing their business in crisis mode rather than the irresponsible mindset that got them where they are today.
So if you think the banks will be a great buy when they do bottom, you should reconsider. Your money can be invested elsewhere with much lower risk and higher returns.
And while inflation is sure to eat away at any cash, at least you don't risk losing it all.
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