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+ AVA Investment Analytics Newsletter

Who subscribes to the AVAIA newsletter?  Individual investors, financial advisers, hedge funds, endowments, and pension plans seeking the unique insights from the world's leading expert on the economic collapse.  Stathis' insights are so revealing he has been banned by the U.S. media establshment, which serves the interests of Wall Street and corporate America.

He has also been banned by the perpetual doomers, who pump gold with deceit. We have NO AGENDAS. 

We have subscribers all across the USA and Canada, but also in Japan, India, Hong Kong, Singapore, Malaysia, Australia, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, France, Spain, Germany, the Netherlands, Sweden, Belgium, Denmark, and the Russian Federation.  The list is growing daily, as more investors find out about Mike Stathis.

This newsletter is NOT for everyone. It is only for those who wish to advance their investment knowledge, skills and savvy. That means you will have to hard work to utilize our research.  If you are lazy, if you want people to tell you what and when to buy and sell, if you do not wish to advance your skills, DO NOT SUBSCRIBE.  Please make certain you understand what this newsletter provides before you subscribe because we do NOT provide refunds. 

 

If you want to become a great investor while benefiting from the insights of the leading expert in the collapse and one of the leading investment minds today, you should sign up for our investment newsletter.

If you are looking for easy money, please do NOT subscribe. There is NO easy money. Investing successfully on a consistent basis requires a lot of hard work and commitment. We will provide you with the best guidance available.

If you are NOT willing to put in a lot of work, please do NOT subscribe.

If you watch CNBC, FOX and read content from those who follow this trash, or if you read the WSJ, IBD, Barron's and the countless useless financial magazines, you are not likely to benefit from this service.

Our investment newsletter should be thought of as an educational process; one that you will not find anywhere else in the world. Your path towards becoming a great investor is a process that will depend in large part on how much you are willing to put into your personal development. Along the way, we will guide you through the market, showing you unique insights and strategies. Finally, you will receive his legendary market forecasts, unrivaled anywhere in the world. 

You WILL make money. You WILL learn how to protect what you have. You WILL become a much better investor.

The more effort you put into the guidance we provide, the more you will benefit. The longer you subscribe, the better you will become because in addition to providing you with an analysis of the economy, market, and securities, we teach you how to understand things better. Thus, our newsletter should also be viewed as a real-time educational course. We don't just want to show you good investments or alert you of risk, we also want to show you how to become a better investor. No other investment newsletter does this.

Each monthly newsletter is approximately 40-50pp.

Special reports are sent out on occassion between issues.

You should note that we do not consider this to be a commercial website or a commercial newsletter. We do NOT have a huge staff of marketers and customer support reps for a good reason. We provide research and we want it to be affordible to everyone who wants to be freed from the depency of Wall Street, the media, and associated hacks. The only way we can do this is to keep operating costs at a minimum. Therefore, you should not expect to have every issue you have resolved immediately.  But you should expect to receive the highest quality research and investment education available. That is what we strive to provide.

Only register as a Client if you intend to purchase the newsletter service.  If you want email notifications when new articles are posted you can signup for alerts or as a member (which allows you access to the forum), but do not sign up for both unless you want duplicate email alerts.

Please do not send personal emails to Mr. Stathis. Email inquiries are intended for paid clients having issues and from prospective clients about the newsletter, customized research or trading assistance.  If you have a comment, please submit it in the comments section or the forum.

+ Mike Stathis' Track Record

You need to ask the media why they have banned Mike Stathis. There is no one in the world who can match his track record on the economic collapse. All of his other accurate forecasts aside, there was no one in the world who predicted in a book that the Dow could collapse to 6000, but who also told people to buy at 6500 in March. He predicted (in his 2006 book) that Fannie and Freddie would be bailed out, and so much more.

This link contains Mike Stathis' track record on the economic collapse.

Key Publications to get You Up to Speed

Spend some time reading the insights of Mike Stathis, from his articles to his landmark books, and you will see why others claiming to be experts with terrible track records are featured contributors to the biggest media publications and investment websites, all while Stathis has been banned.  They do NOT want you to be exposed to valuable insights. You need to wake up and smell the coffee.

Don't look at celebrity status. We have Paris Hilton for that. If you are an investor, you need to look at track records. You need to very carefully examine the track record of every person you decide to follow. You need to avoid those with agendas. Thereafter, you will realize it's all a big game designed to mislead you, to screw you, to take your money. Mike Stathis is the ONLY real expert on YOUR SIDE. 

When you see others boasting how they have been featured in the media, like CNBC or FBN, or financial websites like thestreet.com, the businessinsider, The Huffington Post, or print media like the Financial Times, the Wall Street Journal, MarketWatch, and so on, you had better run like Hell because that tells you whose side they are on and how useless they are to YOU. If you can't see that I suggest you research the track records of your favorite financial media celebrity. They are there for a good reason and it's to make sure you get hosed either through useless insight due to their ignorance, or through scare tactics or hype as a way to pitch their investments or products to you. Either way, if you pay attention to the media for investment or economic insights, I will GUARANTEE you will get screwed.

The media won't let real experts who are commiited to providing you with valuable insight in their club because that would make it more difficult for their financial sponsors (Wall Street and corporate America) to take your money. This is the way things work so I suggest you get up to speed; that is, if you want to finally end the cycle of investment losses and lies.  

The financial media is lying to you for a reason. They are Wall Street's client. Wall Street spends billions of dollars buying ads and commercials. And if the media delvered timely, accurate insights, Wall Street would be unable to take your money.

That is why the media hand-picks hacks and positions them as experts, but they are almost never real experts. Their track records verify that. On the (very) rare occassion the financial media actually airs real experts, they are there to manipulate the sheep.  Consider the case of Warren Buffet for instance.

If you pay attention to print and broadcast media you are being fooled. If you have not learned that by now, you probably never will.  We advise you to read the articles Mike Stathis has written on media deception so you can understand the tricks they use to fool you. 

Blast from the Past: Real Estate Then and Now

+ Books

America's Healthcare Solution: An Investment in Your Future

The Wall Street Investment Bible

Cashing in on the Real Estate Bubble

America's Financial Apocalypse: How to Profit from the Next Great Depression

What Bill Gross Doesn't Want You to Know
Monday, June 15, 2009, by Stathis
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I’ve sat by now for about ten years now, waiting for someone from the financial industry to point out what I am about to reveal. I meant to write about this but I kept forgeting.

I have to conclude that no one has written or spoken in the media about what I’m about to reveal because many simply are unaware of what I deem to be obvious. Others don’t want to go against their colleagues in the financial industry. But what these guys seem to forget is that their first loyalty should lie with the investment public. 
 
I feel the need to point out what I feel to be very disturbing facts behind PIMCO’s Total Return Fund. In short, I feel the fees charged are excessive by any reasonable measure. And when you consider the size of the fund (being the largest mutual fund in the world) this should be further evidence that you can’t win with Wall Street.
 
The scary part is that you have some really large investors in this fund; investors that are supposed to be “sophisticated;” even investors with a fiduciary responsibility to their clients.
 
First of all, let me dish out my own personal opinion. Very rarely would I deem an investment in open-end investment-grade bond fund to be prudent from the standpoint of the cost structure. And you certainly aren’t receiving the type of asset and risk management services relative to the fees charged.
 
Support for my view can be found upon examination of PIMCO’s Total Return Fund, managed by Mr. Bill Gross, the highly touted bond fund manager. Historically, this fund has focused on managing mainly AAA and other investment grade bonds.
 
 
Generally speaking, managing investment grade bonds isn’t something particularly difficult for a professional bond manager to do. Granted, during the current economic catastrophe, this task is a bit more challenging. But what we are experiencing is extraordinarily rare. Gross’ fund has been charging excessive fees for many years. But the SEC allows it and other bond fund managers do the same, so we cannot place all the blame on him.
 
Now, the Total Return fund doesn’t manage exclusively AAA bonds. It does have some risky bonds as well, but the majority are investment grade. You can imagine the temptation to delve into more of these risky “junk” bonds when interest rates are low, so as to increase the returns.  As such, Gross does this, as it is listed as a minor part of the investment strategy.
 
But again, Total Return is primarily for investment grade bonds. The problem is that under normal circumstances, investment grade bonds have very limited upside potential, unlike non-investment grade or junk bonds, which can pay off big. Of course, investment in junk bonds are highly risky and don’t offer the liquidity of investment grade bonds.
 
The point is that due to the limited upside in investment grade bond funds (since your returns come mainly in the form of dividends), the total fees should be very minimal in order to comply with any standards set forth by the financial regulatory authorities. 
 
Let’s have a look at one of the many share classes of the Total Return Fund. The total (disclosed) fees are close to 2% (management and 12b-1 fees). Of course, these fees would vary depending on which share class you bought. But there are additional fees as well, such as ticket charges, but we do not know what these amount to because they’re not reported. You can be assured that once all fees have been accounted for, they come in at over 2% of your investment assets annually.
 
Okay so we have some fees that are typical of equity mutual funds. Of course, part of the problem is that mutual fund fees are excessive. In the end, the only real way to determine how much you’ve been nailed in fees is to look at your account and subtract what you started with from the current balance and do some simple math. Chances are, you will be looking at around 4 percent for the average equity mutual fund, no or no-load. 
 
Of course if you contribute regularly to your mutual funds, it’s virtually impossible to determine these calculations. Mutual fund companies not only know this, they intentionally set it up this way (i.e. fail to provide you with complete and clear disclosure) so you won’t realize how terrible the funds are and how high the total fees really are.
 
The reality is that the SEC should require a detail and clear statement of fees so investors can determine if they are getting their money’s worth. I advise you not to hold your breath.
 
Let’s glance at the fees for the three most common share classes of Total Return. The total expense ratio is the combination of 12b-1, management fees and other fees. Once again, there are several other fees that are not included in the expense ratio.
 
PIMCO Total Return A PTTAX
Management Fee 0.25%
Total Expense Ratio:0.90%
Max 12b1 Fee:0.25%
Front End Sales Load:3.75%

YTD Performance as of 04/17/2009 2.08%
1 Year* 2.50%
3 Year* 6.16%
5 Year* 4.43%
10 Year* 5.94%

PIMCO Total Return B PTTBX
Management Fee 0.25%
Total Expense Ratio:1.65%
Max 12b1 Fee:1.00%
Max Front End Sales Load:0.00%
Max Deferred Sales Load:3.50%

YTD Performance as of 04/17/2009 1.87%
1 Year* 1.73%
3 Year* 5.37%
5 Year* 3.65%
10 Year* 5.15%

PIMCO Total Return C PTTCX
Management Fee 0.25%
Total Expense Ratio:1.65%
Max 12b1 Fee:1.00%
Max Front End Sales Load:0.00%
Max Deferred Sales Load:1.00%

YTD Performance as of 04/17/2009 1.87%
1 Year* 1.73%
3 Year* 5.37%
5 Year* 3.65%
10 Year* 5.15%
 
 
As you can see, your fees will vary depending on what type of shares you buy and how long you own the fund (due to exit penalties for B shares). I won’t go into the fact that the entire mutual fund industry fee structure needs to be sliced down. The growing ETF industry is helping to take care of that. The point here is that from a comparison basis, the fees charged by bond mutual funds are excessive even when compared to industry standards.
 
At least with equity mutual funds you have the potential to earn double-digit returns. With bond funds, it’s a much different story; that is, unless you’re talking about funds that manage primarily junk bonds.
 
If we did consider junk bond funds, you should note that the expertise and effort required would be considered much more than for investment grade bond funds. But the risk would also be much higher, while the liquidity would be significantly lower.
 
In contrast, for investment grade bond funds, your returns are pretty much constricted to a small range, namely around 5 to 7%, depending on interest rates and how well the bonds are managed. 
 
Ask yourself the following question. With disclosed fees (not total fees) of over 1.5% and net annual returns of around 5-6% (depending on the time span under consideration), doesn’t this seem like a big rip-off? To me it does, especially when you can buy the bonds yourself for as low as a $50 (maybe lower charge) and get 6-8% for investment grade issues.
 
If you think the SEC would do anything about this ripoff, think again. I have already made a formal complaint. Their response? “Fees and returns are listed in the prospectus.” In other words, disclosure is suitable for screwing you despite the fact that this so-called disclosure is not clear. The fact is that it is very difficult if not impossible for the average investor to truly comprehend the fund stat sheet much less decipher the prospectus.  
 
Of course part of the problem is that the mutual fund industry is allowed to report very confusing and select data which most investors do not fully understand. Ask yourself why these fees aren’t clearly communicated to investors? Then ask yourself just who you think the SEC works for.
 
Let’s have a look at some additional data. For the A shares (PTTAX), an initial $10,000 investment would rack up $1509, or over 15% in fees (not counting ticket charges) over a 10-year period (Yahoo! Finance). That is the amount that’s sliced from your gross returns; your “total return” if you will, before capital gains taxes of course. So already, you are paying over 1.6% each year for Mr. Gross to manage investment grade bonds that typically return net you around 5-6% individually.
 
As data shows, the fund has returned 4.90% annually over the past five years and 5.94% over the past 10 years. But wait a second. What about the fees? Well, a couple of years ago, the SEC finally started requiring returns to be reported after adjusting for fees. But they did not require funds to also report the gross returns before fees. So you need to do some simple math to determine how much you are really being charged.
 
So, take the annual returns reported and divide that number by the total fees; in the case of the A shares, 1.4%. Looking at the 10-year returns, simple math gives us around 24%. That is, PIMCO is getting 24% of the annual returns in fees. The fees are even higher if you use the 5-year returns.
 
But you still haven’t accounted for taxes. Note that while Fannie and Freddie are tax-exempt, when these bonds are sold (as often happens during the management process) you are responsible for capital gains taxes. But we still aren’t done. Once again, there are several fees that are not disclosed so you should assume these calculations to be higher. I would estimate the total fees to be 30-35% of gross returns. Wow. That sounds like a damn good business to be in (if you have no scruples).
 
The chart below should give you a pretty good idea about this fund. Note that the price chart is of the NAV and does not adjust for fees, so it looks a lot better than reality.
 
 
 
For the B shares, we don’t see much difference. A little shifting here and there with fees and we basically get the same situation.  Management and 12b-1 fees are 1.65% in total. The deferred sales charge is 3.50% if you exit prior to (typically) five years.
 
You see, that’s why the annual fees are higher than with A shares. If you exit before five years, you get dinged with an additional 3.50%. See, they plan to get big fees from you either way. If you stay in the fund for at least 5 years (or the specific requirement which in some cases is 6 years), they’re nail you with a higher expense ratio than with A shares because the A shares nail you with an upfront sales charge.
 
I hope you see how mutual funds work. They play the same shell games as the credit card industry. No matter which share class you buy, you are going to pay huge fees. And investors who haven’t read this piece will never realize that.
 
So what’s the solution of you want a managed bond fund account? Well, you could go to managed money. The fees are smaller and the tax-loss selling is customized to suit you. An even better alternative would be investment in closed-end funds. The fees are taken from the NAV instead of your account and these fees are smaller than other managed funds. 
 
Others who might not want any fees or risk to buy Certificates of Deposit. 
 
Now if you happen to be thinking about investing in a bond fund for your 401(k), consider otherwise. You just might be better off with a large cap value fund that pays good dividends and has more upside potential than these bond funds that take away so much of your returns in fees. 
 
Employees need to start requesting more investment options from their employers because having a 401(k) consisting of only mutual funds serves only the interests of the mutual fund industry.  The fees are outrageous.
 
Let me make one thing clear. It doesn’t take a genius to uncover this disturbing reality about bond mutual funds. You just have to pay attention. And chances are, you can’t count on your adviser if you have one. There are always exceptions. Just don’t think you’ve run across one (as so many think they have) unless you REALLY have. 
 
I also want to make it clear that this problem is not unique to Mr. Gross’ funds. It is a problem with all bond funds. I just wanted to highlight the problem using Total Return because it is the largest mutual fund AND because the fund grows almost exclusively by assets under management (investors buying the fund) AS OPPOSED to capital appreciation (which occurs with equity mutual funds). What this shows you is just how ignorant investors are.
 
In my opinion, these fees, given the nature of the investment type, should be ILLEGAL based on what I know about normal standards from the SEC and FINRA. But the mutual fund industry still has no real regulation. It has only recently fallen under token regulation by the SEC. Prior to this token arrangement, funds had absolutely no regulation whatsoever. Still, once again, all fees are not accounted for nor disclosed when reporting performance.  
 
All it takes is some common sense and honesty. That is precisely why you will never hear anyone on Wall Street or on CNBC mention it. After all, they aren’t at all on your side. Once I found out how the game is played I left Wall Street in disgust.
 
Now, be a good citizen and forward this article to everyone you know so they will understand the truth.  
 
Click here to see why Gross was desperately calling for a bailout for Fannie and Freddie.
  
NOTE: I continue to face widespread censorship for speaking the cold hard truth as I see it. My intention is to wake the people up so they will realize just how useless and deceitful the mainstream media is.  I ask that you do your part to help with this mission by emailing my articles to your friends and adding the articles to the various online syndication options provided at the top right-hand side of each article. Together, we can make a difference.
 
Copyright © 2009. Mike Stathis. All Rights Reserved.
 
Restrictions Against Reproduction: No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, scanning, or otherwise, except as permitted under Section 107 or 108 of the 1976 United States Copyright Act, without the prior written permission of the copyright owner and the Publisher. These articles and commentaries cannot be reposted or used in any publications for which there is any revenue generated directly or indirectly. These articles cannot be used to enhance the viewer appeal of any website, including any ad revenue on the website, other than those sites for which specific written permission has been granted. Any such violations are unlawful and violators will be prosecuted in accordance with these laws.
 
Requests to the Publisher for permission or further information should be sent to info@apexva.com
 
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