Who subscribes to the AVAIA newsletter?Individual investors, financial advisers, hedge funds, endowments, and pension plans seeking the unique insights from the world's leading expert on the economic collapse. Stathis' insights are so revealing he has been banned by the U.S. media establshment, which serves the interests of Wall Street and corporate America.
He has also been banned by the perpetual doomers, who pump gold with deceit. We have NO AGENDAS.
We have subscribers all across the USA and Canada, but also in Japan, India, Hong Kong, Singapore, Malaysia, Australia, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, France, Spain, Germany, the Netherlands, Sweden, Belgium, Denmark, and the Russian Federation. The list is growing daily, as more investors find out about Mike Stathis.
This newsletter is NOT for everyone. It is only for those who wish to advance their investment knowledge, skills and savvy. That means you will have to hard work to utilize our research. If you are lazy, if you want people to tell you what and when to buy and sell, if you do not wish to advance your skills, DO NOT SUBSCRIBE. Please make certain you understand what this newsletter provides before you subscribe because we do NOT provide refunds.
If you want to become a great investor while benefiting from the insights of the leading expert in the collapse and one of the leading investment minds today, you should sign up for our investment newsletter.
If you are looking for easy money, please do NOT subscribe. There is NO easy money. Investing successfully on a consistent basis requires a lot of hard work and commitment. We will provide you with the best guidance available.
If you are NOT willing to put in a lot of work, please do NOT subscribe.
If you watch CNBC, FOX and read content from those who follow this trash, or if you read the WSJ, IBD, Barron's and the countless useless financial magazines, you are not likely to benefit from this service.
Our investment newsletter should be thought of as an educational process; one that you will not find anywhere else in the world. Your path towards becoming a great investor is a process that will depend in large part on how much you are willing to put into your personal development. Along the way, we will guide you through the market, showing you unique insights and strategies. Finally, you will receive his legendary market forecasts, unrivaled anywhere in the world.
You WILL make money. You WILL learn how to protect what you have. You WILL become a much better investor.
The more effort you put into the guidance we provide, the more you will benefit. The longer you subscribe, the better you will become because in addition to providing you with an analysis of the economy, market, and securities, we teach you how to understand things better. Thus, our newsletter should also be viewed as a real-time educational course. We don't just want to show you good investments or alert you of risk, we also want to show you how to become a better investor. No other investment newsletter does this.
Each monthly newsletter is approximately 40-50pp.
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You should note that we do not consider this to be a commercial website or a commercial newsletter. We do NOT have a huge staff of marketers and customer support reps for a good reason. We provide research and we want it to be affordible to everyone who wants to be freed from the depency of Wall Street, the media, and associated hacks. The only way we can do this is to keep operating costs at a minimum. Therefore, you should not expect to have every issue you have resolved immediately. But you should expect to receive the highest quality research and investment education available. That is what we strive to provide.
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You need to ask the media why they have banned Mike Stathis. There is no one in the world who can match his track record on the economic collapse. All of his other accurate forecasts aside, there was no one in the world who predicted in a book that the Dow could collapse to 6000, but who also told people to buy at 6500 in March. He predicted (in his 2006 book) that Fannie and Freddie would be bailed out, and so much more.
This link contains Mike Stathis' track record on the economic collapse.
Spend some time reading the insights of Mike Stathis, from his articles to his landmark books, and you will see why others claiming to be experts with terrible track records are featured contributors to the biggest media publications and investment websites, all while Stathis has been banned. They do NOT want you to be exposed to valuable insights. You need to wake up and smell the coffee.
Don't look at celebrity status. We have Paris Hilton for that. If you are an investor, you need to look at track records. You need to very carefully examine the track record of every person you decide to follow. You need to avoid those with agendas. Thereafter, you will realize it's all a big game designed to mislead you, to screw you, to take your money. Mike Stathis is the ONLY real expert on YOUR SIDE.
When you see others boasting how they have been featured in the media, like CNBC or FBN, or financial websites like thestreet.com, the businessinsider, The Huffington Post, or print media like the Financial Times, the Wall Street Journal, MarketWatch, and so on, you had better run like Hell because that tells you whose side they are on and how useless they are to YOU. If you can't see that I suggest you research the track records of your favorite financial media celebrity. They are there for a good reason and it's to make sure you get hosed either through useless insight due to their ignorance, or through scare tactics or hype as a way to pitch their investments or products to you. Either way, if you pay attention to the media for investment or economic insights, I will GUARANTEE you will get screwed.
The media won't let real experts who are commiited to providing you with valuable insight in their club because that would make it more difficult for their financial sponsors (Wall Street and corporate America) to take your money. This is the way things work so I suggest you get up to speed; that is, if you want to finally end the cycle of investment losses and lies.
The financial media is lying to you for a reason. They are Wall Street's client. Wall Street spends billions of dollars buying ads and commercials. And if the media delvered timely, accurate insights, Wall Street would be unable to take your money.
That is why the media hand-picks hacks and positions them as experts, but they are almost never real experts. Their track records verify that. On the (very) rare occassion the financial media actually airs real experts, they are there to manipulate the sheep. Consider the case of Warren Buffet for instance.
If you pay attention to print and broadcast media you are being fooled. If you have not learned that by now, you probably never will. We advise you to read the articles Mike Stathis has written on media deception so you can understand the tricks they use to fool you.
I’m not talking about the banks or even the retailers. We all know they will continue to slide. I’m talking about everything else. With no real median wage growth since 1999, and soaring inflation for gas, food and healthcare, it’s obvious consumers have had much less to spend. Not only has that hurt savings rates (including retirement contributions) but it’s also affected consumer spending. So don’t expect things to get better by Fall. In fact, I’m expecting the earnings meltdown to begin for much of the remaining sectors in the S&P 500.
You Can Run But You Can’t Hide
Standard & Poor’s earnings estimates for Q2, Q3, and Q4 of 2008 are -11%, 40%, and 60% respectively. Remember, this the same S&P that rated the mortgage junk AAA. It will also be the same S&P that will end up issuing drastic revisions in earnings once the bottom falls out. But that won’t help investors after the fact.
You have to realize what lies ahead and react accordingly. With about 65% of the S&P 500 companies having reported Q2 earnings, the results have not been so bad, with about 70% having beat the 2007 mark. In fact, as the pundits love pointing out, “if you remove the problem child – the financials, S&P earnings have increased by 10%.”
"Regardless of the estimates or hype, a double-digit gain from non-financials is impressive — in any economy," said Howard Silverblatt, S&P's senior index analyst.
Sure it’s impressive when the Fed has been in a printing frenzy. Well guess what? You can’t remove the financials from S&P earnings. With about 92 financials in this index of 500, we are talking about 16.7%. Also consider that earnings were aggressively revised downward so as not to disappoint.
More important, how well do you think earnings will be down the road with the heart of the economy – the financial system - collapsing?
Add to that soaring inflation and you will soon see earnings collapse as consumers fall flat on their face. Even the correction in oil prices won’t save the ship. Oil would have to fall to $80 or lower and stay low for many months. Even if it did, it would take 6 months to a year before the effects would be seen in the economy.
So how far will oil correct? Well as you may recall, in a previous article, I mentioned the possibility for a 30% to 40% correction in oil when it was around $140 (see “Using Oil to Beat Inflation”). Thus far, my forecasts have not changed except I am now leaning towards the high end of this estimate, placing the correction to around $100. At least in America’s case, that is really the one trillion dollar question.
Could oil correct down to $80? Yes. But I would not expect to stay there for long. Remember this is just a short-term trend. As you can see from the chart, the long term trend remains strongly intact. Therefore, this correction will present a buying opportunity in the near future. Consequently, it is due to these huge swings in volatility that I recommend non-active traders to consider investing in oil trusts since they deliver nice double-digit dividends.
Distance Yourself from the Herd
Please do not forget that Washington through its rebate checks, and the Fed through its endless printing of money, have made their most desperate attempts to delay a recession. While they have failed in my opinion, the real severity is coming soon. Make no mistake about it, S&P earning estimates for Q4 won’t even come close to estimates. By the time Washington reports the required (and laughable) “two consecutive quarters of negative GDP” it uses to officially acknowledge a recession, it will be too late for investors who followed this herd mentality.
Continued problems in the credit markets combined inflation will create a drag on earnings. This will accelerate corporate bankruptcies by late 2008, only to soar thereafter. Perhaps the only force that will help earnings will also be the force that ultimately takes them down - inflation. You can’t inflate your way out of a recession, nor can you consume your way out of one either. And Washington is about to learn this first hand.
Sure, it’s possible that we will see the market rally over the next couple of months. If so, you would be wise to sell. More aggressive traders might consider shorting it entirely once it tops out based on the 1-year resistance trend line. It’s also possible that the Dow will break down below the 10,731 lows it made a couple of weeks ago. Only time will tell. It all depends on when the consumers fall and companies start to revise downward. Throughout this difficult period, you would be wise to keep in mind where the slope of the DJIA lies. Eventually, the Dow will follow this slope. It’s just that simple. Don’t try to make it more difficult than it really is.
Now that you know the other side of the picture, you should be better positioned to navigate the market through 2008. As I have been advising for several months, you should sell on rallies and only buy after sell-offs if you’re a really good trader because the market is trending downward. The few investors who had the luck or insight to liquidate their portfolios many months ago might be better off waiting for more clarity. The correction in oil will most likely continue, but that will represent a buying opportunity. I will continue to buy more oil and healthcare. Everything else in the U.S. market is a lost cause for now.
Mike Stathis is the ONLY investment expert who has no vested interests in his insights. Unlike others, he does not sell gold or promote gold vendors to benefit in some way, nor are his insights serving as a marketing piece to generate investment clients from the retail public. Finally, he is NOT a perma-bear. Therefore, he is the only expert who has both predicted all that we see today and whose insights are pure and detached from vested interests.
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