AVA : Investment Analytics

As the facts demonstrate, Mike Stathis is the leading expert on the economic collapse.

His track record Before the collapse can be found in:

America's Financial Apocalypse (2006 extended version), and

Cashing in on the Real Estate Bubble (2007)

Here are just a few predictions made by Mike Stathis in this book. He…

Predicted the possibility of Dow 6000, showing compelling evidence - Chapter 16, pp. 336-342
In August 2008, when everyone else was focusing on Fannie and Freddie, Stathis already knew they would collapse long before. Instead of worrying about them, he issued a report into the public domain warning of an earnings meltdown.
He followed up in November 2008, warning of the possibility of Dow 6200.

Then, in March 2009, he issued an article when the DJIA was 6500, advising investors to begin buying into the market. This was his first all-out buy he had issued in years. This was one of the greatest calls made in years by anyone.

Do you know of anyone who warned about the possibility of Dow 6000 just months before the collapse began, who also told the public to start buying at the bottom??

This shows Stathis is not an extremist, nor is he a doom and gloomer with a sales pitch, unlike the guys you see and read in the financial media. Stathis is the real deal and his track record proves it.

Already, with just these few forecasts, you aren't likely to find anyone else who can match his track record. But let's continue with more. Stathis:

Predicted the collapse of the commodities bubble in 2008/2009 and told readers that would be the time to buy - Chapter 14

Predicted a large correction in China's economy by 2009 and told readers that would be the time to buy – p. 383 (he followed up many times online with this beginning with his first online article

Called the bottom in the Chinese market in November 2008 and advised investors to start buying.

Warned of further downside in the US market in Nov. 2008, told investors to focus on cash but gave some blockbuster stock picks - AA, the HMOs; he later advised picking up DOW

Warned that the credit rating agencies were passing AAA ratings to risky mortgage debt – p. 219

Warned of the lack of adequate regulatory authority over the MBS market positioned it for a massive collapse – p. 222

Warned of a mortgage-related derivatives meltdown resulting in losses in the trillions of dollars – p. 221

Warned that the banks would suffer as a result of the implosion of the MBS market – p. 223
Warned that an implosion of the MBS market would lead to a massive sell-off in global stock markets - p. 223

Advised readers to short LEND, FRE, NFI, FMN, FRE, banks and homebuilders (Cashing in on the Real Estate Bubble)

Stated the that Fannie and Freddie would be bailed out by taxpayers – p. 221

Stated real estate prices would decline by 35% on average (50-60% in certain regions) – p. 223
"I would estimate at its bottom, the deflation of the housing bubble will cause a 35 percent correction for the average home. And in “hot spots” such as Las Vegas, Northern and Southern California, and South Florida, home prices could plummet by 50 to 60 percent of their peak values." (Cashing in on the Real Estate Bubble) --pp. 67-8

Warned that the collapse of the real estate bubble and stock market would lead to the “Poor Effect,” opposite to that seen during a rising stock and real estate market – p. 201

Provided exhaustive evidence of a massive real estate bubble ready to burst – Chapter 10 – the most exhaustive and insightful analysis anywhere

Warned that GM and GE would also be affected by the real estate implosion – p. 223

Warned of the possibility of the ABS markets imploding – p. 223

Predicted and proved irrefutable evidence there would be a depression – Entire Book

Predicted there would be a New Deal – p. 346

Warned about the entitlements tsunami which will, by absolute necessity result in massive tax hikes -- Chapter 11

Addressed healthcare as the second biggest long-term problem faced by America and detailed the problems - Chapter 7

Advised investors to trade the volatility of gold rather than buy and hold – p. 381

Advised investors to invest in oil trusts as a way to deal with the high volatility of oil -- Chapters 17 and 18

Mentioned the possibility that the Fed would intentionally create massive inflation in order to pay off the huge national debt – p. 362

Provided a generic asset allocation for conservative, moderate and aggressive investors – in each case, Cash was the #1 asset (so they would be able to buy after the market crashed). p. 383

Other assets recommended were oil trusts, gold, silver, Chinese funds (note my warning that China’s economy would correct, indicating a time to buy below), healthcare, TIPS, Dollar hedge with the euro – p. 383

Predicted an inflationary depression followed by brief periods of deflation if things got really bad (we experienced deflation during Q4, 2008) -- Chapters 16 and 17

Discussed effective ways to manage risk – pp. 376-385

Detailed how the government manipulates economic data (GDP, inflation, unemployment) and WHY - Chapter 11

Explained how gold was a hedge against deflation, not inflation – pp. 360-362 -- he followed up on this in detail to help the sheep who are being taken by the gold bugs despite the fact that he forecast gold to soar to above $1400 and perhaps $2000 in this book.

Explained how America today (2006) shared many similarities to pre-depression America – Chapter 16, pp. 343-346

Warned of the possibility of China dumping U.S. Treasuries or using this threat for economic (such as unfair trade and currency manipulation) and political leverage pp. 308-309, 312

Explained how corporate America is destroying the middle class – Chapter 12, pp. 322-325, 257-262,

Detailed America’s two-decade period of declining living standards – pp. 243-248

Explained how the SEC permits legalized insider trading by corporations – pp. 255-256

Proved how the economy under Bush was a disaster and was set to implode – Chapter 15

Explained how the SEC is useless and serves as a partner in crime with Wall Street – Chapter 12

Explained how the dollar is backed by oil and how the Saudis have a huge amount of control of the fate of the U.S. economy, pp. 310-311

Predicted that most baby boomers would never be able to retire due to the stock market collapse – Chapters 8 and 13

Exposed the myths and discussed the real problems with Social Security – increased dependence and loss of buying power – Chapter 8

100s of other forecasts many which have materialized; others on the way

ALL PUBLISHED (except as noted) IN 2006

This book will serve as a crystal ball for many years to come.

Here is the Extended Table of Contents

Since 2006, he has predicted every single major market move (up and down) over the past three years, and even warned the public as of his first public article on May 2008.

Stathis continues his virtually flawless track record in the AVAIA newsletter, along with his stock picks which have averaged about 80% in 2009.

Mr. Stathis was also the ONLY person in the world to have recognized that the Bank of America/Merrill Lynch deal was forced/coerced upon Lewis by the Fed and U.S. Treasury.

And he discussed just days after the deal was announced.

This report was released into the public domain.

Note at the end of this article, he also warned that Washington Mutual would be the next bank to be taken over in his September 15, 2008 article...

"So which major bank will be next to go under? Whatever bank that ends up being, Citigroup is certainly in no shape to help out. Even with the Fed’s printing presses they are going to struggle to survive. Most likely, Citi will sell off a few of its businesses before it’s all over. So the question is - which member of the banking cartel will be asked to step in and buy Washington Mutual."

The same day, he advised consumers to withdrawal their savings from Washington Mutual, sensing the end was near in The Death of Wall Street (Part 1) ...

"Maybe once the FDIC runs out of cash they will start to see the light. On second thought I doubt it. Stay tuned, because as I have continued to state with confidence the devastation is far from over. Oh, and one more thing. If you have your money in Washington Mutual, you might consider taking it out as I have."

He reiterated this prediction here.

As well, he was the ONLY person in the world to have exposed the fraud behind the seizure of Washington Mutual, as shown in this formal complaint to the SEC, released in early October, just 2 weeks after the event

Stathis claimed WaMu was NOT insolvent.

He also made other allegations which he knows are true.

One year later, JP Morgan admitted in court documents that WaMu was in fact NOT insolvent.

His claims of massive insider trading have not been addressed by the SEC to this day.

Neither the SEC nor the media will respond to Stathis' report because they know it is a HUGE fraud of historic proportions.

Look at some of his articles published in the public domain and see what he says, then look what happened thereafter.

Throughout this collapse, he has stressed having a large cash position and only making short-term trades, while long-term investors who must invest somewhere take positions in the HMOs, drug makers, oil trusts, China and Brazil ETFs.

These have been amongst the best performers before and after the bottom.

In March 2009, when the Dow hit 6500, Stathis issued his first market buy since the collapse, but warned to buy in gradually.

He has kept his clients and newsletter subscribers in the market ever since then (as of September 25) while most everyone else bailed in the summer, fearing a reversal.

From market forecasting, short-term trading, long-term investing, securities analysis, economic and real estate forecasting, Stathis is the best.

You will not find any other professional even attempt to forecast and analyze so many things. The amazing thing is that is success rate is so high.

Ask yourself what the doomers say.

What did Faber, Schiff and the rest of the EXTREMIST perpetual doomers say when the Dow was making lows to the 6400 level?

They insisted it would keep going lower.

These guys are extremists who are only geared to sell you fear and greed.

The real pros know when to reverse directions.

Truly sophisticated investors laugh at them.

The real pros also know when you should just stay out of the market altogether.

They also know that you need to focus on risk management instead of a buy-and-hold strategy like others who have been labeled experts by the financial media.

They also realize that no nation is impervious to the effects of a global collapse.

Have a look at what Stathis has to say about some of these so-called experts.

They don't dare call him out because they know well they know he has no agendas, and his insights are well beyond theirs.

Stathis does research and analysis for a living. He doesn't spend his time marketing to sheep. Never forget that.

The so-called experts spend their entire day blogging or being interviewed on TV.

Real experts don't do that.

They are either doing research, or advising clients.

The facts are clear.

You will NEVER find a real expert on TV.

If you did, why can't you make money following what they say? Think about it.

The financial media gets paid (via selling commercials) by the financial industry, so whose best interests do you think the media represents?

Yours or those of the financial industry? WAKE UP.

These guys you see on TV are marketers not investment experts.

That is why they have sheep (viewers) as customers.

Stathis advises FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS.

That means he gets paid to be right.

Sheep salesmen get paid regardless. FIGURE IT OUT.

Sample Newsletter (Partial)

November 2005 Warning PLUS Book Excerpts

Mike Stathis is prepared to go up against ANY of the media's "experts" who wish to challenge his track record or his views (as long as the venue is neutral, the host/moderator is neutral, it is a live broadcast and each is given equal time)

Don't expect to see such a showdown.

Weaker opponents always know it's best to retreat rather than confront a much stronger opponent.Don't be fooled by America's propaganda machine.

RESEARCH the track records of these guys and you will see for yourself.

STOP BEING TAKEN FOR A FOOL.

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